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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 10, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:28Goal by Point (Stamkos, Kucherov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  6. P1 3:16Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Marner · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev

  7. P1 3:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  8. P1 4:19Goal by Johnsson (Matthews, Marner)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Cirelli

  9. P1 5:14Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 6:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 7:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 7:46Goal by Tavares (Holl, Kapanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Witkowski, Hedman, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, Sergachev

  14. P1 8:22Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 9:14Shot by Witkowski, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 9:28Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 9:42Spezza: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Holl, Petan, Nylander, Sandin · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Witkowski, Verhaeghe

  18. P1 10:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Andersen4v5
  19. P1 10:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen4v5
  20. P1 11:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 11:24Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Cirelli)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Mikheyev · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  22. P1 12:45Goal by Shattenkirk (Johnson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Johnson, Gourde, Joseph

  23. P1 13:23Kapanen: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point

  24. P1 14:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen4v5
  25. P1 16:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 17:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 17:56Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 17:56Goal by Matthews (Muzzin, Nylander)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Sergachev

  29. P1 18:27Petan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier, Sandin · TBL Maroon, Witkowski, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev

  30. P1 18:35Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  31. P1 18:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen4v5
  32. P1 19:17Goal by Stamkos (Cirelli, Point)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Ceci, Kapanen · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 1:29Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 2:59Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 2:59Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 3:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 3:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 5:23Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 5:37Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 6:33Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 6:40Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 8:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 10:46Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Petan, Gauthier · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point

  47. P2 11:21Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 12:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 13:06Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 14:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 15:52Shot by Moore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 16:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 17:19Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 19:30Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 19:33Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:18Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 3:56Goal by Palat (Cirelli, Sergachev)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev

  60. P3 4:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 4:46Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Moore, Mikheyev · TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point

  62. P3 6:13Shot by Barrie, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  63. P3 6:57Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kapanen · TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  64. P3 8:28Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hutchinson
  65. P3 10:25Shot by Point, saved by Hutchinson
  66. P3 10:59Shot by Witkowski, saved by Hutchinson
  67. P3 14:22Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 18:21Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 18:29Shot by Petan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 18:57Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Hutchinson
  71. P3 19:53Shot by Muzzin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final