Thu, Oct 10, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.07 | 70.6% | +15.2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.32 | 78.9% | +50.2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.74 | 67.1% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.07 | 73.7% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:19 | 1.09 | 67.6% | +54.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.11 | 52.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.03 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.09 | 60.9% | +41.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.12 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.02 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.36 | 75.7% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:52 | 0.43 | 43.2% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.01 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.01 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0.16 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.56 | −1.4 | 59:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.02 | 30.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.03 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.08 | 30.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.04 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:02 | 0.61 | 54.3% | +38.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.07 | 47.7% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.22 | 27.3% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 24.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.03 | 41.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.08 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.04 | 57.2% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.03 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.18 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.09 | 42.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.55 | +0.5 | 13:03 | |
| L | 28 | 21 | 7 | .750 | 3.12 | −3.9 | 46:41 |