Mon, Oct 14, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 0, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 59% of the time.
30%
11%
14%
45%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:00 | 0.44 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.02 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:52 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.05 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:08 | 0.10 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.21 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.07 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.05 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.01 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.29 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.07 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.07 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.01 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.18 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.06 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.02 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.33 | −2.7 | 59:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:46 | 0.06 | 38.4% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.09 | 47.1% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.10 | 58.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.08 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.04 | 52.6% | +31.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.14 | 46.6% | +31.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.25 | 52.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 32.8% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:59 | 0.21 | 60.6% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.04 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.01 | 63.3% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.10 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.03 | 61.7% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.15 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.01 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 25 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.65 | +1.7 | 60:00 |