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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 16, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Colorado Avalanche 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.

PIT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  3. P1 0:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 0:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  5. P1 2:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 3:16Goal by Calvert (Nieto, Cole)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blandisi, Johnson, Riikola · COL Cole, Calvert, Nieto, Bellemare, Makar

  7. P1 4:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Cole, saved by Murray
  9. P1 6:09Jost: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Blandisi, Marino, Johnson, Riikola · COL Wilson, Barberio, Compher, Jost, Girard

  10. P1 6:18Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer5v4
  11. P1 6:19Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Grubauer5v4
  12. P1 8:00Shot by Kahun, saved by Grubauer5v4
  13. P1 8:04Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Grubauer5v4
  14. P1 8:31Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  15. P1 8:51Cole: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Lafferty, Tanev · COL Johnson, Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Jost

  16. P1 10:29Shot by Simon, saved by Grubauer5v4
  17. P1 11:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  18. P1 12:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  19. P1 13:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 15:15Shot by Girard, saved by Murray
  21. P1 15:45Cole: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Schultz, Blueger, Pettersson, Tanev, Aston-Reese · COL Cole, Calvert, Nieto, Bellemare, Makar

  22. P1 16:55Kahun: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Pettersson, Simon, Aston-Reese, Riikola, Kahun · COL Johnson, Donskoi, Graves, Bellemare

  23. P1 17:22Goal by Crosby (Schultz, Pettersson)4v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Pettersson, Lafferty · COL Johnson, Compher, Jost, Girard

  24. P1 17:43Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer4v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:48Shot by Barberio, saved by Murray
  28. P2 3:15Shot by Calvert, saved by Murray
  29. P2 4:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  30. P2 6:05Shot by Jost, saved by Murray
  31. P2 6:10Shot by Makar, saved by Murray
  32. P2 6:19Shot by Rantanen, saved by Murray
  33. P2 6:59Shot by Tanev, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 7:56Shot by Simon, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 8:28Shot by Marino, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 9:42Shot by Nieto, saved by Murray
  37. P2 10:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Grubauer
  38. P2 11:36Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Lafferty, Marino, Kahun · COL Calvert, Barberio, Kadri, Nieto, Graves

  39. P2 13:48Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 13:56Shot by Schultz, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 13:58Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 15:30Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Simon)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon · COL Johnson, Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Burakovsky

  43. P2 15:50Shot by Marino, saved by Grubauer
  44. P2 18:24Shot by Jost, saved by Murray
  45. P2 19:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:00Shot by Calvert, saved by Murray
  49. P3 1:18Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Grubauer
  50. P3 1:26Shot by Kahun, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 2:02Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  52. P3 2:47Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  53. P3 2:56Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · COL Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  54. P3 3:13Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 3:19Shot by Blueger, saved by Grubauer
  56. P3 3:39Shot by Schultz, saved by Grubauer
  57. P3 5:43Shot by Barberio, saved by Murray
  58. P3 6:16Shot by Rantanen, saved by Murray
  59. P3 6:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Murray
  60. P3 6:41Shot by Rantanen, saved by Murray
  61. P3 9:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 9:35Shot by Pettersson, saved by Grubauer
  63. P3 9:41Shot by Calvert, saved by Murray
  64. P3 13:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Murray
  65. P3 15:55Shot by Compher, saved by Murray
  66. P3 17:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 17:52Shot by Graves, saved by Murray
  68. P3 19:59Shot by Letang, saved by Grubauer
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 1:23Shot by Lafferty, saved by Grubauer3v3
  72. OT 2:35Shot by Makar, saved by Murray3v3
  73. OT 2:38Dumoulin: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Guentzel · COL Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Makar

  74. OT 3:57Goal by Tanev, unassisted3v4+55 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Lafferty, Marino, Tanev · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  75. OT 3:57Period end3v4
  76. OT 3:57Final