Wed, Oct 16, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Colorado Avalanche 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
PIT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:53 | 0.23 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.03 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:28 | 0.50 | 60.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.02 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 | 0.27 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:45 | 0.46 | 57.7% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.03 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.02 | 45.8% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.09 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.18 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.07 | 57.8% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.13 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:02 | 0.34 | 63.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 63:57 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 26:40 | 0.37 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:24 | 0.39 | 45.5% | +41.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:45 | 0.38 | 45.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.38 | 42.4% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.13 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.27 | 54.8% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.10 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.06 | 55.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.07 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.13 | 56.2% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.05 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:57 | 0.67 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.18 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:15 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.42 | +0.4 | 63:57 |