Tue, Oct 22, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
San Jose Sharks 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
67%
8%
18%
BUF winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 27:32 | 0.16 | 41.6% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:06 | 0.16 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:09 | 0.30 | 48.6% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.08 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.42 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.15 | 41.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.14 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.12 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.14 | 48.1% | +46.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.13 | 54.2% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.11 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.16 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 46.9% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:54 | 0.16 | 49.5% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.06 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.01 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.90 | −0.1 | 63:13 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26:08 | 0.10 | 52.4% | +82.2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 21:55 | 1.21 | 65.9% | +119.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.34 | 62.2% | +27.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:23 | 0.97 | 57.8% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.04 | 42.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.02 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.18 | 42.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 67.0% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.29 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.16 | 43.5% | +55.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.15 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:36 | 0.28 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.16 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.34 | −0.7 | 63:01 |