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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 10, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stastny–Pacioretty–StoneSmith–Karlsson–MarchessaultPirri–Eakin–GlassReaves–Carrier–RoyMcNabb–SchmidtEngelland–HoldenTheodore–HagueSchmidt–Hague
Abdelkader–Helm–Ehn1:020.00–0.001:290.13–0.004:120.02–0.171:190.00–0.011:350.11–0.003:400.02–0.011:440.00–0.111:020.02–0.06
Bertuzzi–Mantha–Larkin1:180.00–0.004:260.10–0.000:450.13–0.001:450.00–0.146:370.10–0.201:000.00–0.000:450.13–0.00
Filppula–Athanasiou–Fabbri3:260.06–0.021:160.08–0.000:500.01–0.102:090.06–0.023:500.09–0.00
Nielsen–Erne–Perlini2:220.00–0.230:460.00–0.151:110.02–0.010:390.01–0.002:400.02–0.311:190.00–0.07
Bertuzzi–Larkin–Fabbri2:360.01–0.331:010.00–0.020:390.05–0.002:050.01–0.021:560.05–0.290:450.00–0.04
Filppula–Athanasiou–Erne1:090.03–0.080:590.11–0.001:580.00–0.001:280.14–0.001:120.00–0.001:340.00–0.08
Nielsen–Mantha–Perlini0:310.05–0.001:480.08–0.000:500.00–0.010:390.08–0.001:340.05–0.02
McIlrath–Cholowski1:220.00–0.000:430.00–0.005:170.17–0.213:110.02–0.102:040.00–0.013:290.04–0.024:340.14–0.130:330.00–0.06
Green–Nemeth1:290.01–0.004:100.19–0.040:590.01–0.001:050.00–0.004:030.12–0.021:360.08–0.002:150.01–0.03
Nemeth–Hronek3:060.00–0.185:260.24–0.006:190.21–0.002:060.00–0.18
Green–Bowey3:340.23–0.070:340.00–0.002:230.08–0.001:160.00–0.000:460.00–0.003:160.23–0.004:070.08–0.07
Bowey–Hronek4:210.04–0.340:440.00–0.002:040.04–0.002:400.04–0.292:120.00–0.05
Green–Cholowski1:080.00–0.001:090.00–0.141:090.00–0.141:180.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMantha FBertuzzi FLarkin FAthanasiou FFabbri FFilppula FErne FNielsen FPerlini FHelm FEhn FAbdelkader FHronek DNemeth DGreen DBowey DMcIlrath DCholowski DBernier GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStastny FStone FPacioretty FGlass FEakin FPirri FRoy FCarrier FReaves FMcNabb DSchmidt DEngelland DHolden DHague DTheodore DSubban G
DETVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Patrik NemethDET2624:110:561:5216
Mike GreenDET2423:180:581:5321
Dylan LarkinDET2522:000:531:3267
Nate SchmidtVGK2321:410:571:4240
Brayden McNabbVGK2321:270:562:0362
Mark StoneVGK2121:151:011:4513
Filip HronekDET2220:410:561:5252
Paul StastnyVGK2019:551:001:3812
Shea TheodoreVGK2319:130:502:1432
Madison BoweyDET2018:440:561:5350
Deryk EngellandVGK1918:430:591:3204
Nick HoldenVGK2118:430:531:3212
Reilly SmithVGK1918:310:581:2422
William KarlssonVGK1918:200:581:2422
Tyler BertuzziDET2218:130:501:3074
Max PaciorettyVGK1818:121:011:4312
Anthony ManthaDET2117:260:501:4253
Dennis CholowskiDET2016:200:491:1933
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1716:160:571:2421
Valtteri FilppulaDET2016:070:481:2942
Nicolas HagueVGK2015:490:471:1632
Robby FabbriDET2015:240:461:2042
Dylan McIlrathDET1814:350:491:1825
Andreas AthanasiouDET1814:230:481:3141
Brendan PerliniDET1613:170:501:4132
Brandon PirriVGK1413:060:561:2931
Cody EakinVGK1513:010:521:1232
Adam ErneDET1812:550:431:1832
Frans NielsenDET1812:460:431:0813
Christoffer EhnDET1312:180:571:2811
Justin AbdelkaderDET1511:560:481:1433
Cody GlassVGK1311:410:541:1251
Darren HelmDET1411:320:491:1422
Nicolas RoyVGK1410:310:451:2620
Ryan ReavesVGK119:510:541:3720
William CarrierVGK119:260:511:2920