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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 0:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 1:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 1:47Shot by Montour, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 3:14Shot by Chabot, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 3:51McCabe: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Paul

  9. P1 4:15Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Ullmark4v5
  10. P1 5:20Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark4v5
  11. P1 5:58Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 7:56DeMelo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · OTT Ennis, Borowiecki, DeMelo, Namestnikov, White

  13. P1 8:58Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 9:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 10:06Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 10:45Shot by Scandella, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 11:13Ennis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · OTT Ennis, DeMelo, Paul, Chabot, Brown

  18. P1 11:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson5v4
  19. P1 12:02Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson5v4
  20. P1 12:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson5v4
  21. P1 13:01Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson5v4
  22. P1 13:09Shot by Montour, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 1:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 1:28Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Dahlin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Tkachuk

  28. P2 3:58Ristolainen: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues · OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Brown, Paul, Tkachuk

  29. P2 4:23Shot by Asplund, saved by Anderson4v5
  30. P2 5:09Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Ullmark4v6
  31. P2 5:09Jokiharju: Slashing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: BUF Vesey, McCabe, Rodrigues, Jokiharju · OTT Ennis, DeMelo, Namestnikov, Duclair, White, Brannstrom

  32. P2 6:04Goal by Duclair (Brown, Chabot)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · OTT Ryan, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Tkachuk

  33. P2 6:29Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 9:15Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 9:39Goal by Eichel (Olofsson, Reinhart)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · OTT Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev

  36. P2 10:06Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 10:36Shot by Ennis, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 13:55Shot by Scandella, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 14:42Shot by Ryan, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 16:11Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 16:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:20Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Ullmark
  45. P3 2:01Goal by Ennis (Hainsey, Namestnikov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, McCabe, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt · OTT Hainsey, Ennis, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brannstrom

  46. P3 2:50Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 4:32Shot by Vesey, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 5:31Shot by Duclair, saved by Ullmark
  49. P3 6:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  50. P3 7:20Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 7:47Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  52. P3 7:49Shot by DeMelo, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 8:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 8:43Shot by Scandella, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 10:37Shot by Vesey, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 11:14Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 12:01Shot by DeMelo, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 12:13Goal by Eichel (Skinner)+33 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Sheary, Eichel, Jokiharju · OTT Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev

  59. P3 12:34Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 13:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 14:37Shot by Olofsson, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 17:41Shot by Montour, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 17:49Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 18:04Shot by Asplund, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 19:46Goal by Eichel, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Brannstrom, Tkachuk

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final