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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pageau–Brown–PaulDuclair–Brown–TkachukEnnis–Namestnikov–WhiteRyan–Tierney–ChlapikDuclair–White–TkachukBrown–Paul–BrownChabot–ZaitsevBorowiecki–DeMeloHainsey–BrannstromChabot–Brannstrom
Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel4:360.15–0.512:110.08–0.001:190.09–0.004:120.13–0.003:250.14–0.182:220.09–0.07
Skinner–Sheary–Rodrigues3:150.16–0.010:370.02–0.002:320.09–0.041:030.08–0.000:430.00–0.001:200.02–0.005:220.17–0.065:030.18–0.030:390.00–0.00
Vesey–Lazar–Mittelstadt0:450.00–0.001:530.04–0.221:400.00–0.001:290.00–0.021:510.02–0.001:580.01–0.003:260.00–0.12
Okposo–Girgensons–Asplund1:120.00–0.090:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.090:590.00–0.00
Girgensons–Vesey–Asplund1:020.19–0.000:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:320.07–0.001:030.14–0.00
Girgensons–Sheary–Asplund0:430.05–0.000:460.05–0.00
Skinner–Sheary–Eichel0:320.00–0.120:490.00–0.23
McCabe–Ristolainen5:160.31–0.072:110.02–0.222:040.08–0.020:360.09–0.001:100.02–0.006:150.30–0.053:410.24–0.024:050.09–0.09
Scandella–Jokiharju1:000.11–0.012:300.09–0.112:570.14–0.131:140.00–0.021:290.00–0.024:220.21–0.024:090.14–0.262:100.00–0.02
Montour–Dahlin1:150.00–0.260:450.00–0.091:430.00–0.002:080.06–0.053:380.00–0.142:030.10–0.001:260.00–0.00
McCabe–Montour1:220.00–0.000:550.04–0.000:550.02–0.000:360.00–0.002:150.00–0.000:560.00–0.080:340.02–0.00
Scandella–Ristolainen0:480.00–0.001:030.01–0.001:160.00–0.001:490.01–0.000:360.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Montour–Jokiharju0:510.00–0.171:240.09–0.001:170.02–0.170:430.07–0.00
Ristolainen–Montour0:310.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSheary FSkinner FRodrigues FEichel FReinhart FOlofsson FVesey FLazar FMittelstadt FGirgensons FOkposo FAsplund FScandella DJokiharju DMcCabe DRistolainen DDahlin DMontour DUllmark GPaul FBrown FPageau FBrown FTkachuk FDuclair FNamestnikov FWhite FEnnis FChlapik FTierney FRyan FZaitsev DChabot DDeMelo DBorowiecki DBrannstrom DHainsey DAnderson G
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT3225:010:471:4064
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3024:060:481:3564
Jake McCabeBUF2822:160:481:3563
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2921:030:441:4036
Brandon MontourBUF2720:470:461:3052
Marco ScandellaBUF2820:450:441:1137
Dylan DeMeloOTT2820:290:441:1827
Jack EichelBUF2419:570:501:2960
Brady TkachukOTT2819:320:421:2731
Mark BorowieckiOTT2819:240:421:1044
Evan RodriguesBUF2518:370:451:0144
Conor ShearyBUF2218:330:511:1433
Anthony DuclairOTT3018:290:371:2232
Henri JokiharjuBUF2618:010:421:1133
Sam ReinhartBUF2617:440:411:2561
Jeff SkinnerBUF2217:410:481:2343
Logan BrownOTT2817:370:381:3130
Connor BrownOTT2617:210:401:0419
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT3116:590:330:5327
Erik BrannstromOTT2316:440:441:3031
Nick PaulOTT2616:250:381:1726
Victor OlofssonBUF2416:180:411:2560
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2215:480:431:2216
Ron HainseyOTT2415:070:381:1613
Jimmy VeseyBUF2214:470:401:3042
Colin WhiteOTT2014:180:431:0352
Vladislav NamestnikovOTT2013:310:411:0343
Tyler EnnisOTT2013:050:391:0443
Rasmus AsplundBUF1912:130:391:1833
Bobby RyanOTT2012:100:370:5950
Rasmus DahlinBUF1211:561:001:2430
Chris TierneyOTT1811:270:381:0525
Curtis LazarBUF1711:090:391:0951
Casey MittelstadtBUF1610:180:391:1141
Filip ChlapikOTT158:450:350:5920
Kyle OkposoBUF64:090:420:5710