Sat, Nov 16, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.
75%
12%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 25:01 | 0.06 | 25.6% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.32 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.03 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.28 | 44.5% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.04 | 45.3% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.30 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.02 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.16 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.24 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.00 | 68.1% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 39.7% | +24.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:05 | 0.23 | 41.6% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.05 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.43 | −0.6 | 58:33 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 24:06 | 0.06 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.01 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.07 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:45 | 0.08 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 5 | 19:57 | 0.91 | 45.7% | +70.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.14 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.08 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.02 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.14 | 52.5% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.34 | 56.4% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.65 | 45.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.72 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.16 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.13 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 18.4% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.06 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:09 | 0.06 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.74 | −0.3 | 60:00 |