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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 23, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Goal by MacKinnon (Johnson, Kadri)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Donskoi, MacKinnon, Girard · TOR Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Matthews

  3. P1 4:00Shot by Kadri, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 6:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Grubauer
  5. P1 6:20Shot by Hyman, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 6:49Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 7:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 7:42Shot by O'Connor, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 9:49Goal by Shore (Engvall, Holl)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Burakovsky, Zadorov, Kamenev, Makar · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Shore, Gauthier, Engvall

  10. P1 10:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 10:56Goal by Matthews (Barrie, Dermott)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Tynan, Graves, Compher, Nichushkin · TOR Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews

  12. P1 11:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 11:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 13:00Cole: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, MacKinnon · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen

  15. P1 13:22Goal by Barrie (Nylander, Matthews)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Nieto, Graves, Compher · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  16. P1 13:32Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 16:10Shot by Johnsson, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 16:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Grubauer
  19. P1 16:50Shot by Kapanen, saved by Grubauer
  20. P1 16:58Shot by Ceci, saved by Grubauer
  21. P1 17:03Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Grubauer
  22. P1 17:36Goal by Kapanen (Spezza, Muzzin)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Nieto, Graves, Burakovsky, Compher · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen

  23. P1 17:55Shot by Barrie, saved by Grubauer
  24. P1 18:13Tavares: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, MacKinnon, Girard, Makar · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Engvall, Dermott

  25. P1 19:16Shot by Kamenev, saved by Andersen5v4
  26. P1 19:17Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:25Shot by Girard, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 0:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Francouz
  31. P2 2:11Shot by Compher, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 2:39Shot by Bellemare, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 3:50Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 5:29Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 6:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 7:34Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 7:54Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 8:15Shot by Muzzin, saved by Francouz
  39. P2 8:56Holl: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tynan, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Bellemare, Makar · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Shore, Gauthier, Engvall

  40. P2 9:39Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen5v4
  41. P2 10:21Goal by Burakovsky (Donskoi, Kadri)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Makar · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Gauthier, Kapanen

  42. P2 11:36Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Francouz
  43. P2 11:56Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 13:54Shot by Donskoi, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 17:19Kerfoot: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Tynan, Graves, Kamenev, Jost · TOR Spezza, Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Dermott

  46. P2 18:33Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:11Shot by Nylander, saved by Francouz
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Francouz
  51. P3 2:25Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 2:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Francouz
  53. P3 3:30Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 5:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 5:09Shot by Donskoi, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 6:29Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 6:36Shot by O'Connor, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 6:54Goal by Nichushkin (Cole)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Bellemare, O'Connor · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Mikheyev

  59. P3 7:32Kadri: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nieto, Compher, Girard, Makar · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander

  60. P3 8:35Shot by Barrie, saved by Francouz4v5
  61. P3 9:39Shot by Muzzin, saved by Francouz
  62. P3 10:19Shot by Kadri, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 11:18Shot by Ceci, saved by Francouz
  64. P3 12:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Francouz
  65. P3 12:30Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Francouz
  66. P3 12:39Shot by Cole, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 12:57Shot by Donskoi, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 13:51Shot by Holl, saved by Francouz
  69. P3 16:09Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 16:53Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 17:38Shot by Kadri, saved by Andersen6v5
  72. P3 18:40Shot by Donskoi, saved by Andersen6v5
  73. P3 18:53Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Andersen6v5
  74. P3 19:38Shot by Kamenev, saved by Andersen6v5
  75. P3 19:59Goal by Hyman, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Compher, MacKinnon, Makar · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Ceci, Mikheyev

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final