Sat, Nov 23, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
32%
9%
51%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:52 | 0.02 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.04 | 60.5% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.32 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.08 | 61.4% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:40 | 1.28 | 60.5% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.25 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.02 | 62.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.31 | 60.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.12 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:56 | 0.36 | 70.8% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.14 | 29.5% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.09 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 73.7% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.11 | 60.5% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.01 | 42.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:09 | 0.04 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:25 | 0.18 | 89.3% | +14.3 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.79 | −0.2 | 59:38 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 27:45 | 0.16 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:14 | 0.31 | 59.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.04 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:41 | 0.62 | 59.2% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23:26 | 0.22 | 37.4% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.24 | 53.4% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 68.6% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.12 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.05 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.28 | 57.3% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 13:11 | 0.17 | 41.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.02 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:44 | 0.31 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.12 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:00 | 0.12 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.18 | −2.8 | 20:00 | |
| – | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.59 | +1.6 | 37:11 |