Sat, Nov 23, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
32%
9%
51%
COL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Hyman–Mikheyev | Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews | Spezza–Kerfoot–Kapanen | Shore–Gauthier–Engvall | Kerfoot–Kapanen–Engvall | Nylander–Kapanen–Matthews | Rielly–Ceci | Muzzin–Holl | Barrie–Dermott | Muzzin–Ceci | Barrie–Rielly | Muzzin–Barrie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadri–Donskoi–MacKinnon | 4:520.36–0.33 | 1:090.00–0.14 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 3:200.00–0.08 | 2:590.28–0.40 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:550.08–0.01 | 1:030.03–0.02 | |||
| Donskoi–Burakovsky–MacKinnon | 2:150.02–0.16 | 2:160.28–0.03 | 0:520.31–0.00 | 3:520.48–0.16 | 2:090.13–0.03 | |||||||
| Nichushkin–Bellemare–O'Connor | 2:070.37–0.07 | 1:150.05–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:420.16–0.00 | 3:030.26–0.22 | 0:590.00–0.00 | |||||
| Kadri–Nieto–Compher | 0:310.01–0.33 | 1:270.00–0.20 | 1:220.12–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.20 | 3:020.18–0.33 | ||||||
| Nieto–Burakovsky–Compher | 1:280.06–0.04 | 1:470.00–0.07 | 0:570.00–0.12 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:490.06–0.15 | 1:070.00–0.07 | ||||||
| Tynan–Nichushkin–Bellemare | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:530.02–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kamenev–Jost–O'Connor | 1:320.00–0.34 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 1:140.00–0.33 | |||||||||
| Tynan–Kamenev–Jost | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Girard–Makar | 3:180.08–0.16 | 2:560.16–0.14 | 0:470.31–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 5:460.46–0.17 | 1:240.00–0.14 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 0:550.08–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||
| Johnson–Girard | 3:030.27–0.01 | 2:270.00–0.03 | 1:530.05–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 4:090.14–0.00 | 1:410.11–0.14 | 2:320.11–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | ||||
| Zadorov–Makar | 5:030.06–0.70 | 0:480.13–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.20 | 2:140.00–0.08 | 3:410.19–0.48 | 1:010.00–0.33 | ||||||
| Cole–Graves | 2:050.00–0.18 | 1:450.00–0.21 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:340.06–0.21 | 1:050.02–0.18 | ||||||
| Johnson–Zadorov | 1:160.05–0.00 | 0:480.07–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:540.05–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:090.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Cole–Zadorov | 1:360.26–0.33 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:090.26–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.33 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Cole | 0:500.10–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.07 | 1:120.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Graves–Makar | 0:440.00–0.20 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:560.07–0.20 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Graves | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 26 | 27:45 | 1:04 | 2:55 | 7 | 1 |
 Cody CeciTOR | 31 | 26:52 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 1 | 12 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 24 | 25:14 | 1:03 | 3:02 | 9 | 3 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 25 | 24:30 | 0:59 | 2:13 | 5 | 2 |
 Joonas DonskoiCOL | 24 | 23:41 | 0:59 | 2:21 | 9 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 27 | 23:26 | 0:52 | 2:08 | 9 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 23:25 | 0:47 | 2:30 | 2 | 7 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 31 | 23:03 | 0:45 | 2:18 | 4 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 27 | 22:31 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 6 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 20:43 | 0:48 | 2:03 | 4 | 4 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 28 | 20:40 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 4 | 7 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 21 | 19:40 | 0:56 | 2:14 | 6 | 2 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 25 | 19:22 | 0:46 | 2:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 27 | 19:22 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 3 | 6 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 23 | 18:35 | 0:48 | 2:49 | 0 | 5 |
 Justin HollTOR | 31 | 18:20 | 0:35 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 26 | 17:52 | 0:41 | 2:20 | 3 | 5 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 23 | 16:12 | 0:42 | 2:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Tyson BarrieTOR | 25 | 15:56 | 0:38 | 1:50 | 7 | 1 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Nikita ZadorovCOL | 18 | 15:02 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 24 | 14:37 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 5 | 1 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 20 | 13:18 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Ian ColeCOL | 17 | 13:11 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 22 | 12:36 | 0:34 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 20 | 12:24 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan GravesCOL | 16 | 11:48 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 0 | 4 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareCOL | 19 | 11:28 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 19 | 10:44 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 1:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Vladislav KamenevCOL | 14 | 9:00 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 13 | 8:40 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 16 | 8:10 | 0:31 | 0:52 | 2 | 0 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 13 | 8:09 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 0 | 3 |
 T.J. TynanCOL | 13 | 7:28 | 0:34 | 1:05 | 1 | 1 |
 Nicholas ShoreTOR | 11 | 5:25 | 0:30 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |