Fri, Nov 29, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:18Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 0:31Shot by Olofsson, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 2:30Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark
- P1 3:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
- P1 3:55Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Ullmark
- P1 4:30Shot by Spezza, saved by Ullmark
- P1 5:52Shot by Asplund, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 6:01Shot by Vesey, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 7:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 9:39Shot by Olofsson, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 11:42Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
- P1 12:07Shot by Montour, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 12:40Shot by Olofsson, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 12:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 13:02Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 13:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
- P1 14:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
- P1 15:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
- P1 15:40Shot by Vesey, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 16:05Johansson: Tripping (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Petan
- P1 17:50Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P1 18:01Shot by Ceci, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P1 18:54Goal by Tavares (Mikheyev)+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Jokiharju · TOR Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Rielly, Mikheyev
- P1 19:19Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
- P1 19:33Shot by Johansson, saved by Hutchinson
- P1 19:34Dermott: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Montour · TOR Spezza, Barrie, Petan, Kapanen, Dermott
- P1 19:34Sheary: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Montour · TOR Spezza, Barrie, Petan, Kapanen, Dermott
- P1 19:59Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson4v4
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:21Goal by Tavares (Kapanen)4v4+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johansson, Miller, Ristolainen, Olofsson · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Holl, Kapanen
- P2 1:53Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
- P2 2:08Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
- P2 2:50Shot by Scandella, saved by Hutchinson
- P2 4:07Shot by Miller, saved by Hutchinson
- P2 4:32Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Hutchinson
- P2 5:45Goal by Skinner (Larsson, Montour)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Larsson, Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Montour · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Dermott, Mikheyev
- P2 6:03Spezza: Holding (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Johansson, McCabe, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Petan, Kapanen
- P2 6:46Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson5v4
- P2 7:03Shot by Reinhart, saved by Hutchinson5v4
- P2 7:11Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark5v4
- P2 7:33Eichel: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Sheary, Olofsson, Eichel, Mittelstadt · TOR Holl, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews
- P2 7:47Shot by Scandella, saved by Hutchinson4v4
- P2 8:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 9:43Goal by Eichel (Bogosian)+23 pts WP
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Johansson, McCabe, Sheary, Eichel · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Kapanen
- P2 11:28Shot by Eichel, saved by Hutchinson
- P2 11:30Shot by Vesey, saved by Hutchinson
- P2 12:08Goal by Mittelstadt (Scandella, Vesey)+20 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Johansson, Vesey, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju · TOR Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
- P2 13:55Gauthier: Holding (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Girgensons, McCabe, Montour, Eichel, Asplund, Mittelstadt · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Nylander, Matthews, Mikheyev
- P2 16:49Asplund: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Asplund · TOR Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews
- P2 17:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 18:12Shot by Vesey, saved by Hutchinson4v5
- P2 18:54Goal by Olofsson (Eichel, Scandella)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Eichel, Asplund · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Ceci, Petan, Gauthier
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:11Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Ullmark
- P3 1:11Jokiharju: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Scandella, Johansson, Vesey, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Mikheyev
- P3 1:48Shot by Larsson, saved by Hutchinson4v5
- P3 2:39Shot by Petan, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P3 2:40Shot by Spezza, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P3 4:42Shot by Olofsson, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 6:50Goal by Timashov (Spezza, Rielly)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Sheary, Montour, Asplund, Mittelstadt · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Gauthier, Timashov
- P3 8:34Goal by Vesey, unassisted+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews
- P3 9:27Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 11:16Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark
- P3 12:10Goal by Kapanen (Petan, Holl)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johansson, McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Mittelstadt · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Rielly, Petan, Kapanen
- P3 13:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 13:21Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 13:30Shot by Scandella, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 16:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:33Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark
- P3 17:49Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
- P3 18:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark5v6
- P3 19:33Goal by Eichel (Ristolainen)5v6+2 pts WP
On ice: BUF Bogosian, Johansson, Vesey, Ristolainen, Eichel · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews
- P3 19:58Shot by Asplund, saved by Hutchinson
- P3 19:59Dermott: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)
On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Asplund, Jokiharju · TOR Spezza, Holl, Petan, Kapanen, Dermott
- P3 19:59Shot by Asplund, saved by Hutchinsonother
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final