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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 29, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44011+1027:390.0059.1%+14.6
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−3424:480.3255.3%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−4423:100.6645.0%0.0
John TavaresC · #912020322:510.5957.9%+35.8
Tyson BarrieD · #94000−2122:440.0756.2%0.0
Cody CeciD · #83000−1122:340.1039.0%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #8000−1419:090.1953.8%0.0
Andreas JohnssonLW · #18000−3018:490.0043.5%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650110216:520.2954.8%+21.3
Zach HymanLW · #11000+1015:040.1364.2%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #241120315:040.3621.6%+27.2
Travis DermottD · #23000−2313:160.0633.7%0.0
Nic PetanC · #610110112:430.2025.9%+12.7
Justin HollD · #3011+1012:250.0030.6%+12.7
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000009:180.0040.4%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19011028:290.3516.9%+14.6
Frederik GauthierC · #33000005:460.0061.7%0.0
Dmytro TimashovLW · #41101+115:110.0980.0%+14.6
Michael Hutchinson#30L35305.8572.55−2.558:08

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jack EichelC · #9213+4821:360.9067.3%+39.5
Zach BogosianD · #4011+1119:230.0157.7%+23.3
Rasmus RistolainenD · #55011+3019:160.0959.4%+1.7
Jake McCabeD · #190000019:070.0051.3%0.0
Sam ReinhartC · #23000−2118:330.1853.8%0.0
Johan LarssonLW · #22011+1118:020.0482.6%+14.5
Victor OlofssonLW · #68101+1517:470.3264.5%+14.5
Marcus JohanssonLW · #900000116:560.0535.6%0.0
Brandon MontourD · #620110115:430.1044.7%+14.5
Jimmy VeseyLW · #13112+3515:360.3345.7%+34.1
Henri JokiharjuD · #100000215:180.0855.2%0.0
Conor ShearyLW · #43000+1015:060.0058.0%0.0
Marco ScandellaD · #6022+2314:470.2264.0%+34.2
Jeff SkinnerLW · #531010214:450.1039.4%+14.5
Colin MillerD · #33000−2113:300.0232.8%0.0
Casey MittelstadtC · #37101−1212:590.1339.4%+19.6
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000011:260.0062.6%0.0
Rasmus AsplundC · #740000310:430.4561.1%0.0
Linus Ullmark#35W29254.8623.40−0.659:27