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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 5, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 63% of the time.

CGY winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 3:29Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, Olofsson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brodie, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Tkachuk · BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel

  4. P1 3:42Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 3:57Shot by Vesey, saved by Rittich
  6. P1 4:54Tkachuk: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington, Tkachuk · BUF Miller, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel

  7. P1 5:33Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark4v5
  8. P1 8:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  9. P1 9:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 9:43Shot by Kylington, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 10:28Shot by Brodie, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 10:56Shot by Asplund, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 12:23Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rittich5v6
  14. P1 12:23Frolik: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Rieder, Jankowski, Hanifin, Andersson · BUF Johansson, Miller, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel

  15. P1 13:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Rittich4v5
  16. P1 14:00Backlund: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Brodie, Jankowski, Hanifin · BUF Johansson, Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel

  17. P1 14:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Rittich4v5
  18. P1 14:58Skinner: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Hamonic, Jankowski, Ryan · BUF Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel

  19. P1 15:17Shot by Hanifin, saved by Ullmark4v4
  20. P1 15:26Shot by Andersson, saved by Ullmark4v4
  21. P1 16:01Shot by Asplund, saved by Rittich5v4
  22. P1 16:37Shot by Monahan, saved by Ullmark5v4
  23. P1 16:42Goal by Gaudreau (Monahan, Tkachuk)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Monahan, Tkachuk · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Vesey, McCabe

  24. P1 19:22Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:26Shot by Lindholm, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 2:01Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  29. P2 2:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 2:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 2:59Shot by Frolik, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 3:04Shot by Frolik, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 4:19Shot by Backlund, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 5:08Shot by Scandella, saved by Rittich
  35. P2 5:31Shot by Hamonic, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 6:10Shot by Sheary, saved by Rittich
  37. P2 7:48Shot by Jankowski, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 8:43Shot by Girgensons, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 9:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 9:58Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 10:32Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Tkachuk · BUF Bogosian, Scandella, Johansson, Vesey, Mittelstadt

  42. P2 11:18Goal by Rieder (Ryan)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Hamonic, Rieder, Ryan · BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  43. P2 13:05Shot by Eichel, saved by Rittich
  44. P2 13:40Shot by Montour, saved by Rittich
  45. P2 14:15Shot by Monahan, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 15:02Goal by Monahan (Backlund, Andersson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Gaudreau, Monahan, Andersson, Kylington · BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Miller, Sheary, Asplund

  47. P2 17:10Shot by Johansson, saved by Rittich
  48. P2 17:20Shot by Miller, saved by Rittich
  49. P2 18:17Kylington: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Skinner, Sheary, Jokiharju

  50. P2 18:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Rittich4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:30Shot by Olofsson, saved by Rittich
  54. P3 0:56Shot by Hanifin, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 1:31Shot by Andersson, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 2:01Shot by Vesey, saved by Rittich
  57. P3 2:54Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Rittich
  58. P3 3:12Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 3:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich
  60. P3 3:58Goal by Lucic (Ryan, Dube)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Andersson, Kylington, Ryan, Dube · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Skinner, Sheary, Montour

  61. P3 4:21Kylington: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Rieder, Jankowski, Andersson, Kylington · BUF Scandella, Girgensons, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  62. P3 5:24Hanifin: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Brodie, Rieder, Hanifin, Ryan · BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Sheary, Eichel, Mittelstadt

  63. P3 7:39Shot by Hanifin, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 7:49Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 8:03Vesey: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Gaudreau, Monahan, Andersson, Kylington · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Vesey, Asplund, Jokiharju

  66. P3 9:03Shot by Monahan, saved by Ullmark5v4
  67. P3 10:29Shot by Frolik, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 13:05Shot by Dube, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 17:16Goal by McCabe (Olofsson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Frolik, Hamonic, Rieder, Jankowski, Hanifin · BUF McCabe, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  70. P3 17:56Shot by Skinner, saved by Rittich5v6
  71. P3 18:29Shot by Johansson, saved by Rittich5v6
  72. P3 18:32Hanifin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Hamonic, Monahan, Hanifin, Ryan · BUF Johansson, Larsson, Ristolainen, Sheary, Montour, Mittelstadt

  73. P3 19:12Goal by Eichel (Montour, Johansson)4v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Hamonic, Jankowski, Lindholm · BUF Johansson, Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel

  74. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  75. P3 0:00Final