Thu, Dec 5, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 63% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 24:44 | 0.41 | 33.9% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:25 | 0.09 | 35.3% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:02 | 0.18 | 42.4% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 7 | 20:44 | 0.66 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.28 | 36.9% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.07 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.18 | 39.3% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.05 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.04 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.31 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.01 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.03 | 38.2% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.09 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.06 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.04 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.41 | −0.6 | 57:41 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:11 | 0.14 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:06 | 0.00 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.23 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.18 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.04 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.20 | 75.4% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.15 | 58.7% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 62.8% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.08 | 78.4% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.13 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.21 | 63.8% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 13:34 | 0.40 | 65.3% | +33.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:09 | 0.30 | 69.4% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.11 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.02 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.05 | 47.7% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.47 | 65.5% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:41 | 0.57 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.54 | −0.5 | 60:00 |