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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 5, 2019·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Buffalo Sabres 3, Calgary Flames 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 63% of the time.

CGY winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reinhart–Olofsson–EichelJohansson–Vesey–MittelstadtLarsson–Skinner–ShearyGirgensons–Vesey–AsplundSkinner–Girgensons–AsplundMiller–JokiharjuBogosian–ScandellaMcCabe–MontourMcCabe–RistolainenMiller–RistolainenBogosian–MontourScandella–JokiharjuRistolainen–MontourMontour–JokiharjuBogosian–Miller
Lindholm–Mangiapane–Tkachuk5:160.29–0.180:380.06–0.001:110.05–0.000:400.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:300.06–0.051:500.22–0.001:340.12–0.00
Frolik–Rieder–Jankowski2:000.33–0.030:510.00–0.100:440.30–0.281:420.30–0.080:450.19–0.280:460.00–0.001:150.33–0.00
Backlund–Monahan–Dube3:570.07–0.052:000.01–0.070:510.01–0.001:340.03–0.05
Lucic–Gaudreau–Ryan1:070.00–0.002:510.18–0.022:300.08–0.061:380.13–0.09
Lucic–Ryan–Dube0:580.00–0.101:150.00–0.001:480.21–0.142:380.00–0.100:460.21–0.14
Backlund–Gaudreau–Monahan0:320.05–0.000:470.06–0.021:160.00–0.010:410.00–0.000:340.02–0.000:520.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:560.10–0.01
Lucic–Backlund–Ryan1:000.18–0.050:550.05–0.00
Gaudreau–Lindholm–Tkachuk0:490.10–0.00
Hamonic–Hanifin2:410.01–0.233:230.26–0.123:540.13–0.260:380.06–0.002:100.00–0.181:230.21–0.071:570.01–0.041:190.00–0.192:220.13–0.090:350.00–0.000:420.06–0.00
Giordano–Brodie6:240.29–0.101:190.04–0.001:130.00–0.032:420.00–0.051:490.26–0.002:060.06–0.052:160.22–0.03
Andersson–Kylington1:400.38–0.002:070.04–0.003:020.31–0.051:260.30–0.281:120.30–0.002:080.05–0.311:030.05–0.001:220.01–0.041:000.33–0.001:220.24–0.000:370.00–0.000:560.10–0.01
Giordano–Hamonic1:020.00–0.121:220.00–0.001:010.05–0.000:580.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:560.05–0.00
Brodie–Hanifin1:030.09–0.000:450.02–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRieder FTkachuk FLindholm FBacklund FMonahan FDube FRyan FGaudreau FLucic FFrolik FJankowski FMangiapane FGiordano DBrodie DHamonic DHanifin DAndersson DKylington DRittich GEichel FReinhart FOlofsson FVesey FMittelstadt FJohansson FLarsson FSheary FSkinner FGirgensons FAsplund FMiller DRistolainen DMcCabe DMontour DBogosian DScandella DJokiharju DUllmark G
CGYBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Travis HamonicCGY2726:110:582:0519
Mark GiordanoCGY2726:060:582:0147
Jack EichelBUF2224:441:072:4253
Victor OlofssonBUF2323:251:012:1262
Sam ReinhartBUF2323:021:002:1264
Noah HanifinCGY2622:130:511:4714
Elias LindholmCGY2620:540:481:2846
Jeff SkinnerBUF2220:440:571:3581
Marcus JohanssonBUF2320:440:541:4732
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2320:210:532:1943
TJ BrodieCGY2218:260:501:4732
Colin MillerBUF2217:480:492:0721
Brandon MontourBUF1717:011:002:0012
Mikael BacklundCGY2216:540:461:3433
Henri JokiharjuBUF2016:100:491:1963
Casey MittelstadtBUF2215:560:431:3032
Derek RyanCGY2115:550:451:1412
Conor ShearyBUF2015:040:451:3021
Matthew TkachukCGY2014:440:441:2242
Rasmus AnderssonCGY1914:420:461:3521
Jimmy VeseyBUF1914:380:461:3334
Zach BogosianBUF1714:340:511:2204
Mark JankowskiCGY2014:300:441:2326
Milan LucicCGY1514:110:572:0121
Sean MonahanCGY1813:340:452:0621
Jake McCabeBUF1713:170:471:1524
Johan LarssonBUF1813:110:441:1832
Johnny GaudreauCGY1613:090:491:4323
Andrew MangiapaneCGY1511:570:481:2632
Oliver KylingtonCGY1711:260:401:1411
Marco ScandellaBUF1511:100:451:2814
Dillon DubeCGY1410:300:451:1830
Tobias RiederCGY1810:100:341:0722
Michael FrolikCGY169:410:361:4022
Rasmus AsplundBUF128:240:421:2913
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF118:220:461:2913