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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 17, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:04Shot by Johansson, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:30Goal by Gauthier, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Barrie, Rielly, Gauthier, Timashov · BUF Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues, Dahlin

  4. P1 3:20Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:16Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:38Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 6:22Shot by Hyman, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 7:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 11:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 11:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 12:14Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 12:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 12:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 14:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 16:26Shot by Hyman, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 19:16Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
  21. P2 1:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  22. P2 2:52Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 3:55Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 4:47Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Jokiharju

  25. P2 5:39Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 5:41Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 6:10Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 6:17Shot by Engvall, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 7:59Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 9:34Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 10:05Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 10:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 10:25Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 10:52Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 12:06Girgensons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ceci, Kerfoot, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Montour, Dahlin

  36. P2 12:13Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark5v4
  37. P2 13:05Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark5v4
  38. P2 13:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark5v4
  39. P2 13:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark5v4
  40. P2 14:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 15:15Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 17:39Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Barrie)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Rielly, Nylander, Kapanen, Matthews · BUF Johansson, Skinner, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin

  43. P2 18:05Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 19:47Tavares: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Marner · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:29Goal by Dahlin (Eichel, Olofsson)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Engvall, Mikheyev · BUF Johansson, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  48. P3 2:48Shot by Asplund, saved by Andersen
  49. P3 3:42Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  50. P3 3:57Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 4:44Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 4:53Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 4:58Goal by Timashov (Barrie, Gauthier)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Rielly, Gauthier, Dermott, Timashov · BUF Johansson, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Asplund

  54. P3 6:30Goal by Eichel (Olofsson, Reinhart)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Mikheyev · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  55. P3 6:50Shot by Barrie, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 7:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 7:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 7:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 8:15Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 12:30Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 13:51Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 14:39Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 14:41Goal by Okposo (Sheary, Dahlin)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews · BUF Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues, Dahlin

  64. P3 15:10Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 15:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 15:31Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Marner · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  67. P3 16:43Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen4v5
  68. P3 17:26Goal by Mikheyev, unassisted4v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kapanen, Mikheyev · BUF Johansson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  69. P3 18:18Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 19:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen5v6
  71. P3 19:38Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final5v6