Tue, Dec 17, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
71%
15%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | Johansson–Skinner–Asplund | Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons | Vesey–Sheary–Rodrigues | Johansson–Larsson–Skinner | Johansson–Skinner–Sheary | Montour–Dahlin | McCabe–Ristolainen | Scandella–Jokiharju | Ristolainen–Jokiharju | McCabe–Dahlin | Montour–Jokiharju | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Hyman–Marner | 10:050.41–0.46 | 0:360.16–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.03 | 3:050.25–0.00 | 2:570.06–0.06 | 5:220.29–0.34 | 1:430.16–0.10 | ||||
| Nylander–Kapanen–Matthews | 0:530.11–0.03 | 3:440.49–0.19 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 2:030.05–0.01 | 1:180.00–0.02 | 1:030.06–0.00 | 2:590.17–0.02 | 5:070.54–0.23 | 2:560.00–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.00 | ||
| Kerfoot–Engvall–Mikheyev | 2:370.07–0.15 | 1:030.00–0.04 | 3:230.12–0.03 | 1:310.06–0.02 | 0:380.05–0.00 | 6:080.23–0.18 | 2:120.06–0.05 | 1:310.01–0.02 | 0:310.05–0.00 | |||
| Spezza–Gauthier–Timashov | 0:350.00–0.01 | 1:590.15–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:210.13–0.00 | 1:420.13–0.01 | 2:100.15–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tavares–Hyman–Kapanen | 0:490.06–0.08 | 0:520.00–0.15 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Marner–Matthews | 0:360.12–0.08 | 0:490.10–0.08 | ||||||||||
| Muzzin–Holl | 13:500.53–0.63 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 6:390.33–0.31 | 2:170.05–0.02 | 6:170.29–0.45 | 1:230.03–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Barrie–Rielly | 0:420.13–0.11 | 2:540.62–0.09 | 4:430.21–0.08 | 1:540.20–0.04 | 1:140.00–0.02 | 1:030.06–0.00 | 4:190.35–0.02 | 5:040.60–0.16 | 2:470.12–0.16 | 1:450.21–0.00 | ||
| Ceci–Dermott | 2:570.03–0.18 | 2:190.03–0.03 | 3:550.05–0.02 | 3:330.10–0.03 | 5:250.03–0.22 | 2:040.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Rielly–Ceci | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Barrie–Holl | 0:580.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Muzzin–Ceci | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Barrie–Dermott | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Muzzin–Rielly | 0:320.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jack EichelBUF | 23 | 23:48 | 1:02 | 2:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 22 | 23:32 | 1:04 | 2:45 | 2 | 2 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 26 | 23:28 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 23:28 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 4 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 23:16 | 1:01 | 2:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 22:50 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 27 | 21:46 | 0:48 | 1:50 | 3 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 25 | 21:07 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 21:06 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 1 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 20:50 | 0:54 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 25 | 19:39 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 19:38 | 0:56 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 19 | 19:29 | 1:02 | 1:56 | 8 | 1 |
 Cody CeciTOR | 23 | 19:14 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyson BarrieTOR | 21 | 19:11 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 5 | 5 |
 Marcus JohanssonBUF | 20 | 18:48 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 5 | 3 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 23 | 17:52 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 21 | 17:28 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 William NylanderTOR | 17 | 16:27 | 0:58 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 19 | 16:24 | 0:52 | 1:13 | 6 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 15:23 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 20 | 15:03 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 18 | 15:02 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 14:12 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 15 | 13:52 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 2 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 17 | 13:37 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 13:14 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 15 | 12:05 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 1 | 4 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 14 | 10:51 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 15 | 10:36 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 6 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 13 | 10:19 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 14 | 9:05 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 11 | 7:35 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 11 | 7:20 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Dmytro TimashovTOR | 10 | 7:04 | 0:42 | 0:58 | 2 | 1 |