Tue, Dec 17, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
71%
15%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:48 | 0.19 | 52.1% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:32 | 0.33 | 43.2% | +11.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.05 | 40.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:16 | 0.31 | 46.7% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.04 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.06 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.07 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.14 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.06 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.19 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.03 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.29 | 58.0% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.05 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.09 | 31.2% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.08 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.05 | −1.0 | 58:15 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.08 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.11 | 61.1% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.06 | 73.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:06 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.63 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.63 | 60.5% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 19:11 | 0.45 | 74.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.21 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.04 | 74.3% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.05 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.78 | 70.7% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.09 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.02 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.25 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 7:35 | 0.13 | 65.4% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 7:20 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 7:04 | 0.15 | 65.4% | +5.6 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 60:00 |