Mon, Dec 30, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Ottawa Senators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
11%
38%
PIT winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 28:10 | 0.27 | 51.7% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:23 | 0.02 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.03 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.06 | 5.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.26 | 52.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.23 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:12 | 0.42 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 6.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.07 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.23 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.01 | 35.6% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.37 | 70.0% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.02 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:27 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:08 | 0.22 | 38.4% | +14.3 |
| L | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 2.42 | −2.6 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.08 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:05 | 0.02 | 39.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.01 | 64.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.01 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 17:52 | 0.38 | 66.0% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.17 | 62.2% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.12 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.21 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.10 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.07 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 14:15 | 0.47 | 55.4% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.08 | 38.0% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 12:35 | 0.37 | 89.1% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 11:42 | 0.33 | 89.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.00 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.01 | 79.8% | +13.3 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.27 | +0.3 | 60:00 |