Tue, Dec 31, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:44Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
- P1 1:07Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 1:10Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:03Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Johansson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli
- P1 5:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 6:23Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 7:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
- P1 7:49Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:52Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 10:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
- P1 10:29Jokiharju: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
- P1 11:45Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 13:17Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:03Goal by Sheary (Lazar)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Vesey, Lazar, Sheary, Jokiharju · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Point, Stephens, Sergachev
- P1 19:17Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:08Schenn: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Smith, Vesey, Lazar, Montour, Dahlin · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette
- P2 0:08Smith: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Smith, Vesey, Lazar, Montour, Dahlin · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette
- P2 0:34Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
- P2 2:12Goal by Johansson (Sheary, Scandella)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Johansson, Smith, Sheary, Jokiharju · TBL Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Schenn, Hedman, Cirelli
- P2 3:21Okposo: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Jokiharju · TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev
- P2 3:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 4:13Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 5:04Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 5:08Jokiharju: Tripping (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Scandella, Johansson, Lazar, Jokiharju · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli
- P2 5:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 7:00Goal by Palat (Johnson, Sergachev)4v5+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Montour · TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Johnson, Palat, Sergachev
- P2 7:19Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
- P2 7:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 7:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 7:53Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:12Goal by Vesey (Johansson, Sheary)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johansson, Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Johnson, Hedman, Verhaeghe
- P2 8:34Sergachev: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P2 8:34McCabe: Instigator (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P2 8:34McCabe: Fighting (5 min)4v4
On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P2 8:34McCabe: Instigator misconduct (10 min)4v4
On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P2 9:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 9:37Shot by Maroon, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 9:56Goal by Eichel, unassisted4v5+8 pts WP
On ice: BUF Lazar, Montour, Eichel, Jokiharju · TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Johnson, Palat, Gourde
- P2 11:06Johnson: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johansson, Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Verhaeghe, Cernak, Stephens
- P2 12:59Johansson: Hooking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Johansson, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Schenn, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette
- P2 13:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark4v5
- P2 13:57Goal by Killorn (Point, Kucherov)4v5+7 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
- P2 14:23Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P2 14:37Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
- P2 14:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
- P2 16:55Goal by Johnson (Palat, McDonagh)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli
- P2 17:56Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ullmark
- P2 19:30Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P2 19:59Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
- P3 1:01Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
- P3 2:02Shot by Stephens, saved by Ullmark
- P3 2:43Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
- P3 3:38Shot by Scandella, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:54Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 4:10Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 5:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
- P3 5:45Shot by Okposo, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:00Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark
- P3 6:20Goal by Shattenkirk (Johnson, Cirelli)+27 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johansson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Lazar, Asplund · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P3 6:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:08Goal by Killorn (Maroon, Paquette)+32 pts WP
On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Killorn, Maroon, Schenn, Hedman, Paquette
- P3 12:07Sergachev: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johansson, Vesey, Sheary, Montour, Dahlin · TBL Shattenkirk, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Stephens, Sergachev
- P3 12:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 13:53Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 15:42Kucherov: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak
- P3 18:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
- P3 19:57Goal by Cirelli (Killorn, Stamkos)6v5+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Vesey, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Eichel · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final