Tue, Dec 31, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
23%
9%
62%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:23 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 30.0% | +15.1 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:53 | 0.82 | 37.1% | +1.4 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.44 | 26.7% | +41.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.37 | 85.3% | +7.2 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.31 | 68.8% | +7.2 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:42 | 1.28 | 47.5% | +28.2 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.14 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkD · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.06 | 52.2% | +26.8 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.06 | 68.3% | +14.6 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.30 | 56.0% | +29.6 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.05 | 39.7% | +32.5 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.09 | 17.7% | +56.5 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.15 | 39.5% | +32.5 |
 Mitchell StephensC · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:42 | 0.05 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.95 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 25:13 | 0.29 | 44.3% | +8.1 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:25 | 0.17 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 24:23 | 0.16 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.63 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.48 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon MontourD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.06 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Marcus JohanssonLW · #90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.27 | 82.2% | +28.9 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.01 | 67.1% | +14.2 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #43 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 15:00 | 0.24 | 100.0% | +45.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.14 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.02 | 12.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.21 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.18 | 73.0% | +14.7 |
 Jake McCabeD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.01 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
 Curtis LazarC · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.06 | 45.4% | +16.1 |
 Rasmus AsplundC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 77.7% | 0.0 |
 Dalton SmithLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1:26 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.25 | −2.8 | 57:29 |