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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2020·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dadonov–Toninato–VatranoConnolly–Trocheck–AcciariHoffman–Huberdeau–BarkovTrocheck–Huberdeau–AcciariHoffman–Connolly–BarkovHoffman–Connolly–TrocheckBoyle–Sceviour–HoffmanDadonov–Huberdeau–BarkovYandle–EkbladStralman–StillmanMatheson–BrownMatheson–EkbladStralman–MathesonBrown–Stillman
Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons2:140.00–0.061:330.00–0.051:120.00–0.052:310.05–0.234:470.05–0.251:080.00–0.020:540.00–0.030:560.00–0.09
Reinhart–Eichel–Asplund4:380.41–0.121:180.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:200.00–0.003:560.39–0.121:110.02–0.00
Johansson–Vesey–Sheary1:270.00–0.032:490.01–0.031:160.01–0.012:030.00–0.040:390.00–0.00
Johansson–Lazar–Sheary1:090.00–0.010:380.00–0.010:330.00–0.00
Wilson–Reinhart–Eichel1:190.11–0.010:350.00–0.010:560.11–0.00
Larsson–Vesey–Sheary0:460.02–0.000:360.02–0.00
Okposo–Wilson–Lazar
Montour–Jokiharju3:270.01–0.071:380.11–0.051:010.00–0.162:030.00–0.172:110.12–0.011:190.00–0.050:370.00–0.050:310.00–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen1:090.00–0.013:030.26–0.001:520.05–0.052:140.05–0.051:530.24–0.001:480.02–0.010:380.00–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe0:530.00–0.040:520.08–0.030:430.00–0.000:500.03–0.001:520.08–0.010:400.00–0.040:500.03–0.00
Miller–Dahlin3:070.00–0.070:380.00–0.001:200.00–0.060:500.00–0.001:370.00–0.01
Ristolainen–Montour0:350.00–0.191:000.00–0.021:090.00–0.081:210.00–0.190:590.00–0.10
Jokiharju–Dahlin1:310.00–0.021:180.00–0.02
Bogosian–Miller0:400.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Miller–Montour0:520.02–0.000:360.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEichel FReinhart FAsplund FVesey FSheary FJohansson FOkposo FLarsson FGirgensons FWilson FLazar FMcCabe DRistolainen DJokiharju DMontour DDahlin DMiller DBogosian DUllmark GHuberdeau FBarkov FHoffman FSceviour FBoyle FAcciari FConnolly FTrocheck FToninato FDadonov FVatrano FStralman DStillman DPysyk DYandle DEkblad DMatheson DBrown DBobrovsky GDriedger G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2024:211:133:0627
Aaron EkbladFLA2623:500:553:1751
Keith YandleFLA2221:440:592:1570
Aleksander BarkovFLA2221:300:592:4960
Mike HoffmanFLA2221:100:582:4970
Sam ReinhartBUF2420:440:522:0944
Jack EichelBUF2020:121:012:0933
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2120:020:573:0560
Brandon MontourBUF2319:140:501:1413
Jake McCabeBUF2318:440:491:3108
Anton StralmanFLA2718:390:411:1824
Mike MathesonFLA2018:240:553:0941
Marcus JohanssonBUF2118:190:522:0942
Johan LarssonBUF2217:490:491:3524
Henri JokiharjuBUF1917:310:551:1702
Vincent TrocheckFLA2217:210:471:3022
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2216:500:461:3525
Noel AcciariFLA2016:450:501:2516
Brett ConnollyFLA2016:300:501:1352
Riley StillmanFLA2416:300:411:1615
Evgenii DadonovFLA1715:570:562:1850
Rasmus AsplundBUF1715:440:561:3112
Kyle OkposoBUF2215:140:421:3524
Rasmus DahlinBUF1615:100:572:0931
Conor ShearyBUF1913:340:431:1812
Zach BogosianBUF1413:140:572:0502
Curtis LazarBUF2313:060:341:2907
Frank VatranoFLA1813:050:441:3130
Jimmy VeseyBUF1512:500:511:1211
Joshua BrownFLA1612:330:471:2721
Colin MillerBUF1512:120:491:1602
Mark PysykFLA1512:030:481:4121
Colton SceviourFLA1411:120:481:3022
Dominic ToninatoFLA1410:430:461:1420
Brian BoyleFLA149:560:431:1121
Scott WilsonBUF159:380:391:1201