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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2020·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Blueger–Tanev–Aston-ReeseCrosby–McCann–SimonMalkin–Hornqvist–RustGalchenyuk–Lafferty–AngelloMalkin–Crosby–RustHornqvist–McCann–SimonBlueger–McCann–TanevPettersson–MarinoJohnson–LetangLetang–SchultzSchultz–RuhwedelJohnson–RuhwedelLetang–PetterssonRuhwedel–Pettersson
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point3:010.05–0.061:530.00–0.003:240.31–0.300:580.00–0.005:100.27–0.142:290.07–0.080:330.06–0.011:040.01–0.000:510.00–0.04
Johnson–Palat–Cirelli3:390.18–0.051:170.00–0.043:000.16–0.000:520.01–0.004:020.21–0.052:440.13–0.001:010.08–0.040:460.00–0.00
Gourde–Verhaeghe–Stephens1:420.13–0.061:360.05–0.001:020.00–0.002:040.09–0.000:540.22–0.002:510.29–0.001:460.18–0.142:180.09–0.000:330.00–0.00
Killorn–Maroon–Paquette3:050.02–0.031:360.00–0.031:160.03–0.012:180.00–0.000:410.00–0.051:270.10–0.001:300.00–0.03
Hedman–Sergachev1:190.04–0.001:410.09–0.021:430.00–0.140:420.09–0.001:460.12–0.002:150.00–0.141:560.15–0.021:460.09–0.001:440.20–0.00
Coburn–Shattenkirk2:430.14–0.100:470.00–0.001:350.03–0.001:380.03–0.010:450.00–0.002:420.00–0.000:410.13–0.062:050.03–0.001:260.01–0.04
McDonagh–Cernak0:330.00–0.032:270.10–0.051:550.17–0.001:520.17–0.003:520.10–0.08
Coburn–Cernak1:250.00–0.030:570.11–0.100:370.00–0.000:320.04–0.001:010.11–0.001:040.00–0.061:050.04–0.00
Hedman–Cernak1:000.26–0.000:370.00–0.000:480.01–0.001:020.04–0.072:290.35–0.000:560.04–0.070:400.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Hedman1:120.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:420.00–0.040:540.07–0.040:370.00–0.00
Coburn–Sergachev0:570.00–0.000:470.22–0.001:160.22–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev0:500.00–0.000:400.00–0.080:400.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Shattenkirk–Sergachev0:370.05–0.001:030.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FPalat FCirelli FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FVerhaeghe FGourde FStephens FPaquette FMaroon FKillorn FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DSergachev DShattenkirk DCoburn DVasilevskiy GSimon FMcCann FCrosby FRust FMalkin FHornqvist FTanev FAston-Reese FBlueger FGalchenyuk FLafferty FAngello FJohnson DLetang DMarino DPettersson DRuhwedel DSchultz DMurray G
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3127:560:542:5384
Kris LetangPIT2827:160:582:4744
Erik CernakTBL3023:180:471:4948
Sidney CrosbyPIT2623:010:532:1173
Marcus PetterssonPIT2922:340:472:0736
Evgeni MalkinPIT2522:030:532:4771
Mikhail SergachevTBL2721:070:471:2343
Bryan RustPIT2721:050:472:4774
Steven StamkosTBL2519:090:462:5375
John MarinoPIT2719:070:421:3646
Patric HornqvistPIT2118:330:532:4751
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2317:560:471:3811
Anthony CirelliTBL2517:310:421:2038
Brayden PointTBL2317:300:462:0753
Justin SchultzPIT2617:230:401:1442
Ondrej PalatTBL2316:530:441:2124
Nikita KucherovTBL2116:370:472:0773
Teddy BluegerPIT2516:230:391:2008
Brandon TanevPIT2616:070:371:0808
Tyler JohnsonTBL2016:010:481:2323
Braydon CoburnTBL2215:570:441:1722
Dominik SimonPIT2315:010:391:1042
Zachary Aston-ReesePIT2214:580:411:0803
Jack JohnsonPIT2214:490:401:0824
Jared McCannPIT2014:220:431:2533
Alex KillornTBL2413:230:331:1553
Chad RuhwedelPIT2212:330:341:0812
Yanni GourdeTBL1712:190:431:1114
Patrick MaroonTBL1711:240:401:2332
Mitchell StephensTBL1810:570:370:5913
Cedric PaquetteTBL1710:240:371:1533
Ryan McDonaghTBL139:280:441:2313
Carter VerhaegheTBL128:160:411:0511
Alex GalchenyukPIT95:100:341:0710
Sam LaffertyPIT85:010:381:0700
Anthony AngelloPIT94:480:321:0700