Sat, Feb 22, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 84% of the time.
12%
78%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:55 | 0.10 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.18 | 46.1% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19:41 | 1.18 | 51.6% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.03 | 58.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.15 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.28 | 57.7% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.10 | 43.0% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.06 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.29 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.29 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.45 | 42.1% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.22 | 66.8% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:57 | 0.44 | 47.9% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 12:42 | 0.93 | 72.7% | +29.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:06 | 0.35 | 66.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.12 | 77.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.16 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 1.68 | +0.7 | 25:09 | |
| – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.06 | +0.1 | 6:10 | |
| W | 10 | 8 | 2 | .800 | 1.03 | −1.0 | 28:41 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:29 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.11 | 49.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:27 | 0.27 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.25 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:44 | 0.46 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 25.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.19 | 25.1% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:56 | 0.40 | 58.4% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.08 | 32.4% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.37 | 45.2% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.19 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.28 | 64.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.03 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.09 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 47 | 41 | 6 | .872 | 5.33 | −0.7 | 59:36 |