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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 22, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 84% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:43Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:43Shot by Gardiner, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:07Hyman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · CAR Martinook, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Aho

  6. P1 3:33Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  7. P1 3:34Shot by Williams, saved by Andersen4v5
  8. P1 4:10Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen4v5
  9. P1 4:22Shot by Necas, saved by Andersen4v5
  10. P1 4:28Shot by Necas, saved by Andersen4v5
  11. P1 4:38Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen4v5
  12. P1 4:49Shot by Necas, saved by Andersen4v5
  13. P1 6:00Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 6:10Svechnikov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin · CAR Edmundson, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  15. P1 6:51Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen5v4
  16. P1 7:52Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek5v4
  17. P1 8:28Shot by Clifford, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 8:31Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 8:53Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 9:31Niederreiter: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · CAR Haula, Edmundson, Teravainen, Fleury, Svechnikov

  21. P1 11:33Shot by Edmundson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 11:59Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 14:07Shot by Wallmark, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 14:12Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 14:20Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 15:07Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 16:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 18:08Shot by Spezza, saved by Mrazek
  29. P1 18:48Shot by Gardiner, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 19:01Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  31. P1 19:23Shot by Muzzin, saved by Mrazek
  32. P1 19:24Goal by Kerfoot (Muzzin, Kapanen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin · CAR Haula, Niederreiter, Teravainen, Slavin, Pesce

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:12Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 0:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 1:19Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 1:22Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 2:00Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 2:05Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 3:55Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 4:00Shot by Fleury, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 5:06Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 5:45Shot by Martinook, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 5:46Goal by Wallmark (McGinn)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin · CAR Gardiner, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark

  46. P2 8:04Shot by Haula, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 8:26Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 8:44Nylander: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin · CAR Williams, Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele

  49. P2 9:53Goal by Niederreiter (Necas, Gardiner)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Wallmark, Necas

  50. P2 10:13Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 10:13Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 10:45Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 10:49Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 10:49Goal by Foegele (Edmundson, Staal)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Malgin, Sandin · CAR Williams, Staal, Edmundson, Fleury, Foegele

  55. P2 11:19Clifford: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Clifford, Marincin, Gauthier, Dermott · CAR Williams, Staal, Edmundson, Fleury, Foegele

  56. P2 12:26Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  57. P2 13:16Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  58. P2 13:17Goal by Teravainen (Svechnikov, Aho)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Gauthier, Kapanen, Dermott · CAR Williams, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  59. P2 13:36Goal by Tavares (Barrie, Nylander)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin · CAR Staal, McGinn, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele

  60. P2 14:05Shot by Edmundson, saved by Andersen
  61. P2 15:10Goal by Engvall (Barrie, Kapanen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Sandin · CAR Gardiner, Martinook, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark, Necas

  62. P2 15:39Haula: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, van Riemsdyk, Necas

  63. P2 16:13Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen5v4
  64. P2 16:40Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen5v4
  65. P2 17:46Shot by Haula, saved by Andersen
  66. P2 18:39Edmundson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier, Kapanen · CAR Haula, Niederreiter, Edmundson, Slavin, Necas

  67. P2 18:39Clifford: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier, Kapanen · CAR Haula, Niederreiter, Edmundson, Slavin, Necas

  68. P2 18:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Ayres
  69. P2 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Period start
  71. P3 0:53Goal by Foegele, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Malgin · CAR Williams, Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, Foegele

  72. P3 1:00Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 1:40Shot by Ayres, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 3:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Ayres
  75. P3 3:25Shot by Marner, saved by Ayres
  76. P3 3:44Goal by Necas, unassisted+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · CAR Haula, Niederreiter, Slavin, Fleury, Necas

  77. P3 4:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Ayres
  78. P3 5:47Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 5:55Foegele: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Gauthier, Engvall, Malgin · CAR Williams, Staal, Gardiner, Slavin, Foegele

  80. P3 6:08Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen5v4
  81. P3 6:34Shot by Hyman, saved by Ayres5v4
  82. P3 7:24Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen5v4
  83. P3 9:04Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Ayres
  84. P3 9:31Kerfoot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Barrie, Kerfoot, Engvall, Sandin · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, van Riemsdyk, Necas

  85. P3 9:36Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen4v5
  86. P3 16:13Shot by Spezza, saved by Ayres
  87. P3 17:29Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  88. P3 18:37Kapanen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Marincin, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott · CAR Williams, Staal, Edmundson, Fleury, Svechnikov

  89. P3 18:37Staal: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Marincin, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott · CAR Williams, Staal, Edmundson, Fleury, Svechnikov

  90. P3 19:59Shot by Clifford, saved by Ayres4v4
  91. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  92. P3 0:00Final