Sat, Feb 22, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 84% of the time.
12%
78%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Teravainen–Aho–Svechnikov | Williams–Staal–Foegele | Haula–Niederreiter–Necas | Martinook–McGinn–Wallmark | Edmundson–Fleury | Gardiner–van Riemsdyk | Slavin–Pesce | Edmundson–Slavin | Slavin–Fleury | Gardiner–Slavin | van Riemsdyk–Fleury | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | 5:520.53–0.17 | 2:310.08–0.02 | 0:520.05–0.00 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 4:390.43–0.31 | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.02 | ||
| Kerfoot–Kapanen–Engvall | 1:220.11–0.05 | 0:300.11–0.04 | 2:150.15–0.17 | 1:040.00–0.28 | 1:020.13–0.02 | 3:020.32–0.48 | 1:200.25–0.05 | ||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Malgin | 4:030.00–0.85 | 2:440.19–0.57 | 1:040.00–0.26 | 0:460.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Spezza–Clifford–Gauthier | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:320.10–0.31 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 1:580.00–0.31 | |||||||
| Spezza–Kapanen–Engvall | 1:230.10–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 1:370.12–0.00 | |||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Matthews | 0:420.00–0.01 | 1:270.12–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Clifford–Gauthier–Kapanen | 0:480.00–0.02 | 1:400.17–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Muzzin–Holl | 6:110.13–0.38 | 1:000.00–0.26 | 2:140.15–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:200.08–0.01 | 1:200.07–0.26 | 3:420.10–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.22 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:400.02–0.07 |
| Marincin–Dermott | 1:440.32–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.24 | 2:110.12–0.27 | 1:320.05–0.03 | 3:270.19–0.29 | 2:110.12–0.26 | 1:290.32–0.00 | 1:200.05–0.00 | |||
| Barrie–Sandin | 1:470.00–0.34 | 1:350.11–0.37 | 1:560.00–0.32 | 2:350.03–0.35 | 1:480.16–0.28 | 1:320.03–0.04 | |||||
| Holl–Dermott | 1:290.08–0.11 | 1:130.17–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Muzzin–Barrie | 1:400.13–0.07 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.08 | |||||||
| Holl–Sandin | 0:530.05–0.05 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Dermott–Sandin | 1:170.00–0.28 | 0:440.00–0.29 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Barrie–Marincin | 0:330.22–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:060.22–0.04 | ||||||||
| Muzzin–Marincin | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Marincin–Holl | 0:310.06–0.00 | 0:570.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 31 | 27:55 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Justin HollTOR | 29 | 23:29 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 7 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 25 | 22:55 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 27 | 20:43 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 20:27 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 2 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 20:11 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 7 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 24 | 19:44 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 26 | 19:41 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 25 | 19:25 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Joel EdmundsonCAR | 21 | 18:59 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Haydn FleuryCAR | 22 | 18:40 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerCAR | 21 | 17:53 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 5 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 17:27 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 24 | 17:24 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykCAR | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 24 | 16:48 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 23 | 15:56 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyson BarrieTOR | 21 | 15:12 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik HaulaCAR | 19 | 15:00 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 6 | 1 |
 Justin WilliamsCAR | 18 | 14:29 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 8 | 0 |
 Nino NiederreiterCAR | 19 | 14:14 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 14:12 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 6 | 4 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 22 | 14:03 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin NecasCAR | 19 | 13:57 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 6 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 20 | 13:39 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 16 | 13:04 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Warren FoegeleCAR | 20 | 12:42 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 5 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 17 | 12:40 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 18 | 12:21 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Lucas WallmarkCAR | 15 | 12:06 | 0:48 | 1:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 18 | 11:20 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 14 | 10:55 | 0:47 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 17 | 10:41 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 17 | 10:28 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 1 | 3 |
 Kyle CliffordTOR | 13 | 9:12 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 0 | 3 |