Tue, Mar 3, 2020·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Buffalo Sabres 1, Winnipeg Jets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 60% of the time.
52%
8%
10%
29%
WPG winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:19 | 0.08 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:52 | 0.20 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:28 | 0.15 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.14 | 49.2% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.21 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.26 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.24 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.17 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.08 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.09 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.07 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.01 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.12 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.12 | 74.8% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.20 | 64.8% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.74 | −0.3 | 57:49 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:00 | 0.21 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 24:15 | 0.68 | 48.4% | +35.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:17 | 0.17 | 47.3% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.11 | 50.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.03 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.04 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.02 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.19 | 62.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.06 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.36 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.16 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.01 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.23 | 43.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.23 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:45 | 0.25 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.15 | +1.1 | 60:00 |