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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Murray
  3. P1 2:13Shot by Stützle, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 3:35Shot by Thornton, saved by Murray
  5. P1 4:26Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev · TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  6. P1 5:30Shot by Bogosian, saved by Murray5v4
  7. P1 6:08Shot by Watson, saved by Campbell5v4
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 7:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray
  10. P1 8:35Shot by Vesey, saved by Murray
  11. P1 8:52Shot by Robertson, saved by Murray
  12. P1 10:25Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell
  13. P1 10:49Shot by Stepan, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 10:55Goal by Paul (Zaitsev, Brown)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tierney, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  15. P1 14:10Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 14:17Goal by Thornton (Marner, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gudbranson, Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  17. P1 16:39Shot by Brodie, saved by Murray
  18. P1 16:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  19. P1 18:47Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Murray
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:39Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray
  23. P2 1:10Goal by Marner (Matthews)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Stepan, Gudbranson, Reilly, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  24. P2 3:22Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray
  25. P2 3:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  26. P2 3:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell
  27. P2 3:59Shot by Stepan, saved by Campbell6v5
  28. P2 3:59Tavares: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, Stepan, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk, Stützle · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Vesey

  29. P2 5:06Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  30. P2 6:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray
  31. P2 8:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray
  32. P2 8:04Chabot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Zaitsev, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Vesey, Nylander

  33. P2 8:15Shot by Spezza, saved by Murray4v5
  34. P2 9:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray4v5
  35. P2 9:23Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray4v5
  36. P2 9:49Paquette: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Coburn, Stepan, Brown, Paul · TOR Thornton, Simmonds, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  37. P2 10:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray4v5
  38. P2 10:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray4v5
  39. P2 10:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Murray4v5
  40. P2 10:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray4v5
  41. P2 11:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Murray4v5
  42. P2 11:41Shot by Marner, saved by Murray4v5
  43. P2 11:45Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray4v5
  44. P2 13:50Mikheyev: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Zaitsev, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Kerfoot, Mikheyev

  45. P2 14:30Marner: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, Stepan, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  46. P2 16:04Shot by Chabot, saved by Campbell5v4
  47. P2 16:43Shot by Stützle, saved by Campbell
  48. P2 17:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray
  49. P2 19:10Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Murray
  50. P2 19:39Shot by Vesey, saved by Murray
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:35Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Murray
  54. P3 1:49Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Murray5v6
  55. P3 1:50Brown: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Coburn, Dadonov, Brown, Norris, Stützle · TOR Bogosian, Kerfoot, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev

  56. P3 2:42Goal by Matthews (Marner, Thornton)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Coburn, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev · TOR Thornton, Simmonds, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  57. P3 3:31Shot by Dermott, saved by Murray
  58. P3 4:02Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 5:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Murray
  60. P3 5:37Shot by Dermott, saved by Murray
  61. P3 7:53Shot by Vesey, saved by Murray
  62. P3 7:59Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray
  63. P3 8:16Shot by Muzzin, saved by Murray
  64. P3 8:34Shot by White, saved by Campbell
  65. P3 9:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Murray
  66. P3 10:51Shot by Paul, saved by Campbell
  67. P3 11:16Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Campbell
  68. P3 11:44Goal by Stützle (Chabot, White)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, White, Chabot, Zaitsev, Stützle · TOR Bogosian, Tavares, Rielly, Vesey, Nylander

  69. P3 12:27Hyman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tierney, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews

  70. P3 13:54Shot by Dadonov, saved by Campbell5v4
  71. P3 17:11Stützle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Coburn, Dadonov, Brown, White, Stützle · TOR Thornton, Muzzin, Bogosian, Marner, Matthews

  72. P3 17:19Shot by Thornton, saved by Murray4v5
  73. P3 19:37Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final