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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Thornton–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Vesey–NylanderHyman–Kerfoot–MikheyevSpezza–Simmonds–RobertsonHyman–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–MarnerSpezza–Hyman–MikheyevVesey–Kerfoot–MikheyevBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollBogosian–DermottBogosian–RiellyMuzzin–BogosianRielly–Dermott
Tierney–Brown–Paul4:440.00–0.160:330.00–0.001:160.13–0.005:550.13–0.242:240.00–0.040:440.10–0.00
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk0:300.00–0.071:200.00–0.053:040.13–0.020:370.10–0.003:420.13–0.081:500.00–0.060:570.10–0.00
Watson–Paquette–White0:440.00–0.000:530.00–0.111:100.00–0.050:370.00–0.002:060.00–0.051:580.00–0.12
Dadonov–Stepan–Stützle1:380.01–0.071:060.00–0.001:340.14–0.061:490.01–0.040:340.00–0.03
Stepan–Batherson–Tkachuk1:100.04–0.000:510.00–0.061:030.04–0.000:300.00–0.02
Tierney–Paquette–Brown0:530.00–0.090:360.00–0.041:000.14–0.09
Tierney–Brown–Stützle0:330.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Stepan–Watson–Stützle1:030.01–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev6:590.07–0.212:190.18–0.131:070.16–0.021:160.13–0.000:340.00–0.009:100.27–0.193:430.01–0.051:050.25–0.091:210.17–0.05
Gudbranson–Reilly4:250.04–0.242:480.13–0.011:240.00–0.050:320.00–0.003:300.13–0.216:090.04–0.332:250.15–0.110:500.10–0.000:360.00–0.01
Coburn–Brown1:310.00–0.051:100.00–0.032:150.00–0.110:550.08–0.000:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.161:420.00–0.052:350.22–0.043:220.00–0.140:420.08–0.000:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FBatherson FPaul FBrown FTierney FStützle FStepan FDadonov FWatson FPaquette FWhite FReilly DGudbranson DZaitsev DChabot DBrown DCoburn DMurray GHyman FKerfoot FMikheyev FMarner FMatthews FThornton FVesey FNylander FTavares FSimmonds FRobertson FSpezza FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DBogosian DDermott DCampbell G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2924:430:511:5274
Thomas ChabotOTT2124:221:103:3316
Mitch MarnerTOR2823:460:511:5253
Jake MuzzinTOR2623:250:542:5923
Justin HollTOR2822:260:481:3133
Auston MatthewsTOR2721:500:491:5262
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2321:480:571:4018
TJ BrodieTOR2821:450:471:3376
Connor BrownOTT2521:260:511:4607
Drake BathersonOTT2119:290:563:2650
Erik GudbransonOTT2219:120:521:4201
Brady TkachukOTT2218:530:523:1051
John TavaresTOR2418:190:461:3641
Zach HymanTOR2317:470:461:5932
Chris TierneyOTT2617:170:401:5007
Mike ReillyOTT2217:040:471:4211
William NylanderTOR2317:030:441:5221
Derek StepanOTT2016:040:481:5464
Josh NorrisOTT2415:330:391:3340
Joshua BrownOTT1815:270:521:3802
Ilya MikheyevTOR2215:210:421:2322
Jimmy VeseyTOR2115:010:431:1431
Tim StützleOTT1914:520:471:3111
Alexander KerfootTOR2214:390:401:2322
Braydon CoburnOTT1914:360:461:2412
Zach BogosianTOR1714:150:501:2511
Evgenii DadonovOTT1714:060:502:1323
Joe ThorntonTOR2014:050:421:0870
Nick PaulOTT2012:350:381:1905
Colin WhiteOTT1711:240:401:1921
Cedric PaquetteOTT1610:460:401:1621
Austin WatsonOTT1810:280:351:0303
Travis DermottTOR148:570:381:2510
Wayne SimmondsTOR137:330:350:5240
Jason SpezzaTOR136:570:320:5116
Nick RobertsonTOR42:200:350:4500