Sat, Jan 16, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
40%
8%
9%
43%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:43 | 0.10 | – | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 23:46 | 0.20 | – | +51.1 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:25 | 0.19 | – | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 21:50 | 0.61 | – | +35.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.07 | – | +16.2 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:19 | 0.28 | – | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.58 | – | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 |
 Jimmy VeseyLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.21 | – | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.20 | – | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.29 | – | +29.8 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:57 | 0.12 | – | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:33 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:20 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.96 | +1.0 | 59:48 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:22 | 0.11 | – | +13.3 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.00 | – | +15.4 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.14 | – | +15.4 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 |
 Erik GudbransonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.34 | – | 0.0 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 |
 Derek StepanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.26 | – | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.40 | – | 0.0 |
 Joshua BrownD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.25 | – | +13.3 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.68 | – | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.23 | – | +15.4 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.19 | – | +13.3 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.25 | – | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | L | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.09 | +0.1 | 59:40 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.