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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 24, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Staal, saved by Vanecek
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 2:54Shot by Pinho, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek
  7. P1 3:25Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek
  8. P1 3:30Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek
  9. P1 5:26Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  10. P1 6:11Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vanecek
  11. P1 6:58Goal by Schultz, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chara, Hagelin, Schultz, Dowd, Hathaway · BUF Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  12. P1 8:04Shot by Rieder, saved by Vanecek
  13. P1 8:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 9:02Shot by Chara, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 9:09Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 9:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  17. P1 11:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  18. P1 14:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek
  19. P1 14:35Shot by Chara, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 15:03Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 15:13Shot by McMichael, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 15:21McMichael: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Panik, van Riemsdyk, Siegenthaler, McMichael · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen

  23. P1 15:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek4v5
  24. P1 16:34Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek4v5
  25. P1 17:46Shot by Eakin, saved by Vanecek
  26. P1 17:53Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vanecek
  27. P1 18:45Shot by Montour, saved by Vanecek
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:23McCabe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, Vrana · BUF Staal, McCabe, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Mittelstadt

  31. P2 1:59Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  32. P2 2:37Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmark5v4
  33. P2 2:56Shot by Sprong, saved by Ullmark5v4
  34. P2 3:06Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark5v4
  35. P2 4:14Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek
  36. P2 4:37Shot by Montour, saved by Vanecek
  37. P2 4:57Shot by Sprong, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 5:38Shot by Panik, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 6:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek
  40. P2 7:16Shot by Dowd, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 8:20Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 8:20Chara: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, Vrana · BUF Hall, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Jokiharju

  43. P2 9:17Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek4v5
  44. P2 9:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek4v5
  45. P2 9:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek4v5
  46. P2 9:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek4v5
  47. P2 9:44Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek4v5
  48. P2 10:07Goal by Miller (Ristolainen, Mittelstadt)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Eller, van Riemsdyk, Siegenthaler · BUF Staal, Skinner, Miller, Ristolainen, Mittelstadt

  49. P2 10:45Ristolainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, Vrana · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen

  50. P2 10:50Shot by Lazar, saved by Vanecek5v4
  51. P2 11:51Goal by Oshie (Schultz, Backstrom)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Schultz, Vrana · BUF Sheahan, McCabe, Lazar, Montour

  52. P2 12:02Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  53. P2 12:07Dowd: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Dillon, Hathaway · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  54. P2 12:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek4v5
  55. P2 13:04Goal by Olofsson (Reinhart, Eichel)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chara, Hagelin, Eller, Carlson · BUF Hall, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  56. P2 15:05Shot by Staal, saved by Vanecek
  57. P2 15:46Siegenthaler: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Hathaway, Siegenthaler · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  58. P2 16:08Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek4v5
  59. P2 16:46Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek4v5
  60. P2 17:17Shot by Hall, saved by Vanecek4v5
  61. P2 18:49Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vanecek
  62. P2 19:28Shot by Panik, saved by Ullmark
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:33Shot by Staal, saved by Vanecek
  66. P3 1:36Shot by Staal, saved by Vanecek
  67. P3 5:08Shot by Vrana, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 6:03Dowd: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Dowd, Dillon, Hathaway · BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  69. P3 6:57Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek4v5
  70. P3 7:24Goal by Staal (Ristolainen, Miller)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Hagelin, Dillon, van Riemsdyk · BUF Staal, Skinner, Miller, Ristolainen, Mittelstadt

  71. P3 7:48Shot by Pinho, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 7:50Montour: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Schultz, Pinho, Sheary, Sprong · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, Montour, Jokiharju

  73. P3 8:30Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  74. P3 8:43Shot by Schultz, saved by Ullmark5v4
  75. P3 9:28Goal by Backstrom (Vrana, Carlson)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Chara, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Vrana · BUF Sheahan, Rieder, McCabe, Ristolainen

  76. P3 10:25Shot by Schultz, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 10:33Schultz: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: WSH Chara, Oshie, Backstrom, Schultz, Vrana · BUF Staal, Okposo, Hall, Miller, Dahlin

  78. P3 11:11Shot by Sprong, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 12:12Shot by Hathaway, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 12:54Shot by Schultz, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 14:31Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek
  82. P3 14:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek
  83. P3 18:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek
  84. P3 18:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:40Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek3v3
  88. OT 0:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek3v3
  89. OT 1:22Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek3v3
  90. OT 2:36Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark3v3
  91. OT 2:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Vanecek3v3
  92. OT 3:16Shot by Schultz, saved by Ullmark3v3
  93. OT 4:13Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmark3v3
  94. OT 4:15Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmark3v3
  95. OT 4:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek3v3
  96. OT 5:00Period endother
  97. SO Period start
  98. SO Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmarkother
  99. SO Goal by Eichel, unassistedother
  100. SO Shot by Oshie, saved by Ullmarkother
  101. SO Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vanecekother
  102. SO Shot by Backstrom, saved by Ullmarkother
  103. SO Final
  104. SO Period endother