Sun, Jan 24, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
20%
68%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | Sheahan–Skinner–Lazar | Hall–Reinhart–Eichel | Okposo–Eakin–Rieder | Staal–Okposo–Hall | Staal–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | Eakin–Rieder–Mittelstadt | Staal–Okposo–Skinner | Eakin–Skinner–Rieder | McCabe–Ristolainen | Montour–Jokiharju | Miller–Dahlin | Ristolainen–Montour | McCabe–Montour | Ristolainen–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:180.09–0.04 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 3:170.09–0.48 | 2:180.03–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:330.14–0.03 | 3:350.07–0.33 | 2:410.05–0.32 | 0:380.00–0.01 | |||||
| Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway | 5:440.25–0.48 | 4:130.06–0.01 | 2:310.00–0.02 | 2:270.08–0.17 | 3:590.24–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.30 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Eller–Panik–McMichael | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:580.19–0.08 | 2:010.07–0.15 | 1:510.11–0.05 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 3:330.24–0.05 | 2:520.11–0.17 | 1:270.03–0.07 | |||||||
| Pinho–Sheary–Sprong | 3:140.11–0.00 | 1:590.39–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:280.34–0.00 | 2:000.12–0.00 | 0:400.02–0.00 | 0:370.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Eller–Panik–Sheary | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Chara–Schultz | 2:500.00–0.29 | 2:230.11–0.04 | 1:020.03–0.13 | 3:110.39–0.06 | 4:030.16–0.57 | 1:300.03–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.12 | 4:230.21–0.03 | 4:370.34–0.47 | 4:360.20–0.34 | 1:030.02–0.01 | 1:070.00–0.29 | 0:340.00–0.12 | ||
| Carlson–Dillon | 3:320.17–0.04 | 1:180.01–0.01 | 3:550.04–0.20 | 0:530.03–0.03 | 0:590.00–0.06 | 1:230.08–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.03 | 3:040.08–0.20 | 4:240.25–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 0:470.01–0.00 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Siegenthaler | 0:330.08–0.15 | 1:460.07–0.00 | 1:330.16–0.04 | 3:080.11–0.01 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:340.16–0.11 | 4:000.27–0.15 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||
| Schultz–Dillon | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Carlson–Siegenthaler | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.05 | 0:570.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 30 | 28:52 | 0:58 | 3:02 | 8 | 2 |
 Justin SchultzWSH | 26 | 24:39 | 0:57 | 1:58 | 4 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 25 | 24:36 | 0:59 | 2:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 24:28 | 0:59 | 2:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 24:13 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 3 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 23 | 22:47 | 0:59 | 2:45 | 8 | 1 |
 Zdeno CharaWSH | 27 | 22:37 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 4 | 7 |
 Taylor HallBUF | 25 | 22:29 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 9 | 1 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 25 | 22:16 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 6 | 5 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 25 | 22:03 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 6 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 23 | 21:25 | 0:56 | 2:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 24 | 20:48 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 3 | 4 |
 Carl HagelinWSH | 26 | 20:18 | 0:47 | 2:30 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 23 | 19:33 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 1 | 4 |
 Jakub VranaWSH | 23 | 18:50 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 7 | 4 |
 Brenden DillonWSH | 28 | 18:50 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 24 | 18:15 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 4 | 4 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 26 | 17:18 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 24 | 17:02 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 7 | 3 |
 Eric StaalBUF | 19 | 15:50 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Jonas SiegenthalerWSH | 21 | 15:14 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 4 | 5 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 23 | 14:14 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 3 | 5 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 17 | 14:13 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 23 | 14:09 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Tobias RiederBUF | 19 | 13:08 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 20 | 12:56 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 4 | 3 |
 Richard PanikWSH | 16 | 11:50 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 5 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 16 | 11:47 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 14 | 10:45 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 1 | 7 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 13 | 10:31 | 0:49 | 1:06 | 1 | 5 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 13 | 10:11 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 14 | 10:02 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 13 | 9:54 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 4 | 0 |
 Daniel SprongWSH | 13 | 9:27 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Brian PinhoWSH | 11 | 8:11 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |