Sun, Jan 24, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
20%
68%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:36 | 0.55 | 72.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 24:28 | 1.12 | 72.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.11 | 44.9% | +49.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 22:47 | 0.21 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 22:29 | 0.84 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:25 | 0.56 | 54.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.05 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.19 | 51.6% | +49.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:50 | 0.36 | 72.3% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.04 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.13 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.13 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:47 | 0.38 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 20.3% | +20.1 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.00 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28:52 | 0.23 | 46.9% | +32.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:39 | 0.46 | 37.2% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.03 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22:16 | 0.81 | 26.0% | +52.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.17 | 24.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.04 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.05 | 24.2% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.08 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.17 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.22 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.11 | 91.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:54 | 0.12 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:27 | 0.12 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 0.29 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 4.70 | +1.7 | 65:00 |