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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 22, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:00Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:52Skjei: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Paquette, Pesce, Lorentz · TBL Maroon, Hedman, Goodrow, Rutta, Volkov

  6. P1 2:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer4v5
  7. P1 3:37Shot by Maroon, saved by Reimer4v5
  8. P1 4:47Shot by Point, saved by Reimer4v5
  9. P1 5:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 5:56Shot by Volkov, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 7:04Shot by Rutta, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 8:28Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 8:52Martinook: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Paquette, Pesce, Lorentz · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Goodrow, Cernak, Volkov

  14. P1 9:58Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer4v5
  15. P1 11:22Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Fleury, Bean, Necas · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak

  16. P1 12:26Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer5v4
  17. P1 13:27Goal by Fast (Necas, Bean)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Necas · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Cernak

  18. P1 16:27Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 17:41Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:20Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 18:31Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:39Aho: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Palat, Coleman, Point, Cernak

  26. P2 2:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer4v5
  27. P2 2:26Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Palat)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Hamilton, Slavin · TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point

  28. P2 2:55Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 3:00Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 3:17Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 4:25Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 6:00Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 6:02Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 6:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 7:12Goal by Hedman (Sergachev, Stamkos)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Foegele · TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph, Sergachev

  36. P2 8:50Shot by Point, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 9:51Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 10:13Shot by McDonagh, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 12:01Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 14:14Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 15:03Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 15:54Shot by Rutta, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 16:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 16:49Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 18:03Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Necas · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph

  46. P2 18:16Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  47. P2 19:14Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  48. P2 19:15Goal by Fast (Pesce, Hamilton)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Trocheck, Hamilton, Pesce · TBL Killorn, Gourde, Sergachev, Rutta

  49. P2 19:15Point: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Trocheck, Hamilton, Pesce · TBL Killorn, Gourde, Sergachev, Rutta

  50. P2 19:42Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:45Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 2:01Pesce: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Pesce, Lorentz, Bean, Necas · TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Barré-Boulet, Rutta

  55. P3 4:16Shot by Cernak, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 6:47Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:04Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 7:05Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 7:57Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 8:02Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 8:04Goal by Palat (Rutta, Point)+33 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, McGinn, Pesce, Aho, Svechnikov · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Coleman, Point, Rutta

  62. P3 8:45Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer
  63. P3 8:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 9:13Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 9:31Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 9:34Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 10:21Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 12:35Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 13:08Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 13:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 14:28Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 14:44Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 15:57Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 16:03Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 16:11Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 16:22Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 18:09Shot by Pesce, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  78. P3 18:10Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  79. P3 19:20Goal by Killorn (Cernak)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Trocheck, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Goodrow, Cernak

  80. P3 19:59Shot by Fleury, saved by Vasilevskiy
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final