Mon, Feb 22, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.
45%
8%
39%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:53 | 0.27 | 53.0% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.04 | 36.4% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.01 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.22 | 62.3% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 19:23 | 0.49 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.32 | 86.3% | +33.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:08 | 0.61 | 85.7% | +50.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.14 | 23.8% | +40.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.14 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.06 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.93 | 61.8% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.17 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.11 | 51.8% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.08 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.08 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.16 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 4.08 | +2.1 | 59:59 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:34 | 0.22 | 51.7% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.08 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:40 | 0.20 | 48.3% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:51 | 1.04 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.31 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.04 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.28 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.26 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.43 | 46.2% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 15:00 | 0.21 | 64.0% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.02 | 70.0% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.25 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.19 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.13 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.04 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.01 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.38 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.18 | +0.2 | 58:32 |