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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 22, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palat–Coleman–PointStamkos–Johnson–JosephKillorn–Gourde–Barré-BouletMaroon–Goodrow–VolkovStamkos–Palat–PointMcDonagh–CernakHedman–RuttaHedman–SergachevSchenn–SergachevSergachev–RuttaCernak–SergachevMcDonagh–HedmanMcDonagh–Sergachev
McGinn–Aho–Svechnikov6:150.07–0.852:200.24–0.014:360.28–0.091:510.01–0.012:430.00–0.010:310.00–0.21
Niederreiter–Trocheck–Necas1:380.00–0.004:240.33–0.012:540.02–0.193:120.01–0.112:390.32–0.072:100.10–0.091:460.07–0.000:300.00–0.00
Staal–Fast–Foegele0:420.00–0.042:350.05–0.123:040.02–0.411:100.05–0.003:070.05–0.252:320.25–0.080:480.01–0.241:230.01–0.000:510.10–0.00
Martinook–Paquette–Lorentz0:340.00–0.000:570.05–0.004:040.46–0.002:350.04–0.000:580.00–0.030:490.04–0.041:430.44–0.000:470.24–0.00
Hamilton–Slavin3:280.02–0.245:220.07–0.042:290.02–0.140:430.01–0.004:190.02–0.264:540.02–0.121:270.08–0.071:340.08–0.000:570.06–0.000:340.09–0.04
Skjei–Pesce4:330.05–0.832:460.49–0.112:030.04–0.321:330.00–0.005:590.27–0.312:280.33–0.072:260.04–0.191:030.04–0.12
Fleury–Bean0:550.00–0.021:000.05–0.002:440.03–0.183:250.46–0.003:080.09–0.040:320.00–0.001:560.02–0.142:440.44–0.021:050.01–0.210:390.00–0.00
Pesce–Bean0:380.23–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FMcGinn FSvechnikov FStaal FFoegele FFast FNecas FTrocheck FNiederreiter FPaquette FMartinook FLorentz FHamilton DSlavin DFleury DBean DPesce DSkjei DReimer GPalat FColeman FPoint FKillorn FGourde FBarré-Boulet FJoseph FJohnson FStamkos FMaroon FGoodrow FVolkov FHedman DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DSchenn DRutta DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2924:530:511:3744
Dougie HamiltonCAR2623:340:541:5747
Mikhail SergachevTBL2923:280:492:3153
Jaccob SlavinCAR2422:570:572:0428
Ryan McDonaghTBL3022:560:461:2134
Erik CernakTBL3221:480:411:2016
Brett PesceCAR2621:400:501:5025
Vincent TrocheckCAR2419:510:502:4347
Sebastian AhoCAR2519:250:471:4743
Blake ColemanTBL2219:230:531:5232
Brady SkjeiCAR2219:150:532:1326
Brayden PointTBL2419:150:481:3651
Ondrej PalatTBL2419:080:481:3761
Jordan StaalCAR2418:560:471:29312
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2318:400:491:4743
Steven StamkosTBL2217:590:491:2171
Yanni GourdeTBL2217:450:481:3968
Jesper FastCAR2115:310:441:3227
Brock McGinnCAR2215:230:421:2516
Jake BeanCAR1715:000:531:4112
Martin NecasCAR2114:540:431:5545
Tyler JohnsonTBL1714:050:501:2181
Alex KillornTBL2113:580:401:1057
Nino NiederreiterCAR1913:460:431:5545
Barclay GoodrowTBL2013:420:411:4135
Haydn FleuryCAR1613:180:501:3531
Jan RuttaTBL1913:010:411:2704
Mathieu JosephTBL1512:310:501:2250
Patrick MaroonTBL1312:240:572:2052
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1812:110:410:5476
Warren FoegeleCAR1611:450:441:1906
Jordan MartinookCAR1911:030:351:2433
Alexander VolkovTBL129:420:492:2022
Cedric PaquetteCAR149:060:391:2422
Steven LorentzCAR159:060:361:0022
Luke SchennTBL86:400:501:3920