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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 1, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:18Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:48Tinordi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak · NSH Haula, Tinordi, Grimaldi, Benning, Olivier

  5. P1 2:28Shot by Palat, saved by Saros5v4
  6. P1 3:46Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros5v4
  7. P1 4:14Shot by Josi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 4:30Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak, Joseph · NSH Duchene, Tinordi, Forsberg, Benning, Tolvanen

  10. P1 6:39Shot by Sissons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:44Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:02Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 9:13Goal by Palat (Stamkos, Rutta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Cousins, Arvidsson

  14. P1 11:43Shot by Olivier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:54Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Hedman, Palat, Point · NSH Josi, Ellis, Haula, Grimaldi, Olivier

  16. P1 12:30Shot by Palat, saved by Saros5v4
  17. P1 13:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros5v4
  18. P1 13:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros5v4
  19. P1 13:59Goal by Gourde (Johnson, Cirelli)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Johnson, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Josi, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Olivier

  20. P1 14:05Shot by Fabbro, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:23Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 15:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros
  23. P1 16:56Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  24. P1 16:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros
  25. P1 16:58Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros
  26. P1 17:14Shot by Fabbro, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 18:18Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  28. P1 18:52Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 19:18Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 19:59Goal by Point (Joseph, Sergachev)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Point, Cernak, Joseph, Sergachev · NSH Haula, Tinordi, Grimaldi, Benning, Olivier

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 2:45Haula: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Josi, Ellis, Haula, Cousins, Olivier

  34. P2 4:38Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros5v4
  35. P2 4:54Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 6:41Cousins: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Sergachev · NSH Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning

  37. P2 7:23Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Killorn)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · NSH Tinordi, Granlund, Sissons, Fabbro

  38. P2 9:14Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  39. P2 10:52Shot by Benning, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 10:54Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:57Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · NSH Duchene, Tinordi, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning

  42. P2 11:59Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  43. P2 12:10Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  44. P2 12:13Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Sergachev · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Arvidsson, Tolvanen

  45. P2 13:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  46. P2 13:10Shot by Forsberg, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  47. P2 14:13Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 14:22Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  49. P2 16:31Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  50. P2 17:49Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  51. P2 19:40Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 19:55Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 1:23Shot by Coleman, saved by Saros
  57. P3 1:25Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  58. P3 2:53Goal by Tolvanen (Haula)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Johnson, Hedman, Gourde, Joseph, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Ellis, Haula, Cousins, Tolvanen

  59. P3 4:56Shot by McDonagh, saved by Saros
  60. P3 5:09Shot by Granlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:38Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 5:41Goal by Granlund (Ellis, Josi)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Schenn, Johnson, Palat, Point, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg

  63. P3 8:51Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  64. P3 11:52Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  65. P3 12:04Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros
  66. P3 14:58Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 16:29Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros
  68. P3 16:56Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  69. P3 17:05Shot by Duchene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 18:09Shot by Ellis, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  71. P3 19:44Goal by Gourde (Goodrow)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Rutta · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Haula, Cousins, Fabbro, Tolvanen

  72. P3 0:00Final
  73. P3 0:00Period end