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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 1, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Duchene–Granlund–ForsbergHaula–Grimaldi–OlivierJohansen–Arvidsson–TreninJohansen–Cousins–ArvidssonGrimaldi–Sissons–OlivierHaula–Cousins–TolvanenSissons–Trenin–TolvanenSissons–Trenin–OlivierJosi–EllisTinordi–BenningEkholm–FabbroJosi–FabbroEllis–EkholmJosi–Benning
Killorn–Johnson–Cirelli1:220.05–0.212:040.06–0.003:250.03–0.353:530.03–0.281:100.09–0.001:300.06–0.000:350.00–0.06
Stamkos–Palat–Point1:150.07–0.250:590.00–0.120:380.00–0.000:520.00–0.030:400.00–0.021:570.34–0.172:060.00–0.261:230.07–0.020:530.00–0.08
Coleman–Goodrow–Gourde3:530.12–0.010:540.79–0.000:390.13–0.000:540.02–0.002:310.92–0.000:320.00–0.012:060.01–0.000:390.13–0.000:350.00–0.00
Killorn–Maroon–Joseph0:400.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Maroon–Point–Joseph0:320.16–0.001:080.00–0.000:330.16–0.001:080.00–0.00
Coleman–Goodrow–Joseph
Maroon–Joseph–Cirelli0:480.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Maroon–Johnson–Joseph1:010.03–0.001:010.03–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak4:090.19–0.171:440.12–0.001:400.03–0.012:030.01–0.000:320.06–0.24
Sergachev–Foote2:020.00–0.000:530.00–0.030:480.00–0.001:010.03–0.000:530.00–0.031:340.00–0.001:410.00–0.031:460.03–0.08
Hedman–Rutta0:490.00–0.052:480.11–0.290:320.00–0.002:190.11–0.240:530.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:420.00–0.06
Schenn–Hedman0:350.79–0.121:520.13–0.000:550.00–0.100:500.00–0.021:310.79–0.211:430.00–0.020:400.13–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev1:020.07–0.350:320.16–0.000:360.21–0.010:410.16–0.251:100.07–0.09
Schenn–Sergachev0:390.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:090.00–0.03
Hedman–Cernak0:320.10–0.000:400.02–0.000:560.06–0.00
McDonagh–Rutta1:280.10–0.001:160.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJohnson FKillorn FCirelli FGoodrow FColeman FGourde FPalat FPoint FStamkos FMaroon FJoseph FRutta DHedman DMcDonagh DCernak DSergachev DSchenn DFoote DVasilevskiy GCousins FArvidsson FJohansen FForsberg FGranlund FDuchene FHaula FGrimaldi FOlivier FSissons FTolvanen FTrenin FEllis DJosi DEkholm DFabbro DBenning DTinordi DSaros G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2527:061:052:5263
Ryan EllisNSH2525:221:012:1435
Victor HedmanTBL2724:220:541:4053
Alex KillornTBL2424:021:003:3374
Mikael GranlundNSH2423:290:592:0023
Anthony CirelliTBL2522:320:543:2446
Filip ForsbergNSH1920:431:052:0440
Ryan McDonaghTBL2320:030:521:5244
Mikhail SergachevTBL2520:010:481:3310
Dante FabbroNSH2318:500:491:2024
Mattias EkholmNSH2318:240:481:1117
Steven StamkosTBL1718:101:042:0720
Erik CernakTBL2317:540:471:1712
Yanni GourdeTBL2017:490:531:1501
Brayden PointTBL1917:420:562:0740
Matt DucheneNSH2217:370:482:0041
Tyler JohnsonTBL2117:020:493:2442
Barclay GoodrowTBL2216:470:461:2511
Ryan JohansenNSH1716:440:591:4652
Ondrej PalatTBL1816:430:561:5731
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1616:131:012:0442
Blake ColemanTBL2116:100:461:0812
Matt BenningNSH2015:060:452:0002
Jarred TinordiNSH2114:360:422:0003
Mathieu JosephTBL1614:080:533:2840
Nick CousinsNSH1813:450:461:2251
Erik HaulaNSH1913:350:431:1901
Mathieu OlivierNSH1813:340:451:2403
Jan RuttaTBL1713:190:471:1615
Luke SchennTBL1413:150:573:3020
Colton SissonsNSH1712:200:441:0808
Patrick MaroonTBL1712:070:431:1050
Yakov TreninNSH1211:130:561:2912
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1511:050:441:2402
Eeli TolvanenNSH1510:590:441:1511
Cal FooteTBL119:450:531:0930