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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 8, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Tinordi, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 2:04Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Benning, McCarron, Trenin, Olivier · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Sergachev, Volkov

  4. P1 2:04Olivier: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Benning, McCarron, Trenin, Olivier · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Sergachev, Volkov

  5. P1 3:12Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 3:54Shot by Goodrow, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:00Shot by Goodrow, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:07Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 7:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 7:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:21Shot by Rutta, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:08Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 8:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 9:07Goal by Cirelli (Killorn, Cernak)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Johnson, Cernak, Cirelli

  15. P1 9:21Shot by Joseph, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 10:01Shot by Rutta, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 10:56Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 11:15Shot by Cirelli, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 12:02Shot by Coleman, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 14:46Shot by Cirelli, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 14:50Jarnkrok: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Jarnkrok, Sissons, Benning, Tolvanen · TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta

  22. P1 15:05Shot by Point, saved by Rinne4v5
  23. P1 15:51Shot by Point, saved by Rinne4v5
  24. P1 16:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 16:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 17:14Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  27. P1 18:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:37Shot by Gourde, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 1:45Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Tinordi, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Fabbro · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta

  32. P2 2:22Shot by Cousins, saved by McElhinney5v4
  33. P2 2:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney5v4
  34. P2 4:04Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:56Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney
  36. P2 8:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney
  37. P2 9:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 11:05Benning: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Granlund, Cousins, Benning · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Point, Sergachev

  39. P2 11:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne4v5
  40. P2 11:35Shot by Palat, saved by Rinne4v5
  41. P2 13:02Goal by Cirelli (Sergachev, Maroon)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ellis, Tinordi, Sissons, Olivier · TBL Maroon, Johnson, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev

  42. P2 14:47Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 16:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 16:11Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 16:28Shot by Tolvanen, saved by McElhinney
  46. P2 17:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 17:38Hedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Cousins, Benning, Arvidsson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta

  48. P2 17:38Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Cousins, Benning, Arvidsson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta

  49. P2 17:38Cousins: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Cousins, Benning, Arvidsson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta

  50. P2 18:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney5v4
  51. P2 19:23Jarnkrok: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Jarnkrok, Granlund, Tolvanen · TBL Killorn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta

  52. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:37Shot by Sissons, saved by McElhinney4v5
  55. P3 1:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 5:59Killorn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Haula, Granlund, Cousins, Benning · TBL Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta

  57. P3 6:14Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney5v4
  58. P3 6:58Shot by Haula, saved by McElhinney5v4
  59. P3 7:54Shot by Goodrow, saved by Rinne5v4
  60. P3 8:50Shot by Trenin, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 8:56Shot by Ellis, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 9:55Cirelli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Johnson, Cernak, Cirelli

  63. P3 10:24Shot by Tolvanen, saved by McElhinney5v4
  64. P3 10:44Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney5v4
  65. P3 11:08Goal by Fabbro (Duchene, Granlund)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Granlund, Arvidsson, Fabbro, Tolvanen · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak

  66. P3 11:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 12:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 14:38Shot by Benning, saved by McElhinney
  69. P3 15:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 17:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 18:22Goal by Coleman, unassisted6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak

  72. P3 19:40Shot by Arvidsson, saved by McElhinney6v5
  73. P3 19:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by McElhinney6v5
  74. P3 19:50Shot by Duchene, saved by McElhinney6v5
  75. P3 19:58Goal by Stamkos (Point)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final