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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 8, 2021·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.

NSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Palat–PointColeman–Goodrow–GourdeKillorn–Johnson–CirelliMaroon–Joseph–VolkovJohnson–Palat–CirelliKillorn–Johnson–GourdeHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–CernakSchenn–SergachevCernak–SergachevHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–SergachevMcDonagh–Rutta
Duchene–Forsberg–Arvidsson1:120.00–0.045:040.09–0.233:050.01–0.160:360.00–0.001:090.00–0.036:250.12–0.270:530.00–0.101:170.03–0.000:480.00–0.03
Haula–Granlund–Cousins3:320.03–0.011:050.00–0.002:410.02–0.041:110.00–0.033:460.05–0.070:430.00–0.004:030.00–0.080:550.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Sissons–Tolvanen1:530.02–0.012:050.00–0.032:540.09–0.132:500.00–0.102:020.00–0.031:350.09–0.130:450.02–0.00
McCarron–Trenin–Olivier0:590.00–0.001:300.00–0.003:510.09–0.063:390.04–0.030:420.00–0.001:390.00–0.03
Jarnkrok–Forsberg–Sissons0:490.00–0.090:310.00–0.00
Haula–Cousins–Tolvanen0:550.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Josi–Ellis4:310.00–0.183:400.00–0.213:470.09–0.131:060.00–0.033:030.00–0.053:550.00–0.262:560.09–0.181:010.00–0.000:550.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Tinordi–Fabbro1:420.03–0.002:430.02–0.171:280.04–0.003:500.08–0.130:530.10–0.000:500.00–0.100:520.00–0.03
Borowiecki–Benning0:560.02–0.031:470.03–0.031:240.00–0.002:000.01–0.060:490.00–0.001:020.00–0.031:450.00–0.032:200.00–0.061:260.04–0.00
Josi–Fabbro0:400.00–0.041:520.00–0.020:450.00–0.031:230.00–0.032:370.05–0.020:440.00–0.04
Ellis–Tinordi1:150.00–0.001:020.05–0.000:360.01–0.001:130.00–0.00
Tinordi–Benning1:120.00–0.000:340.02–0.000:500.00–0.001:240.00–0.000:340.02–0.00
Josi–Benning0:400.00–0.021:000.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Fabbro0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCousins FHaula FGranlund FForsberg FArvidsson FDuchene FJarnkrok FSissons FTolvanen FTrenin FOlivier FMcCarron FEllis DJosi DTinordi DFabbro DBenning DBorowiecki DRinne GGoodrow FColeman FGourde FKillorn FJohnson FCirelli FStamkos FPalat FPoint FJoseph FMaroon FVolkov FSchenn DSergachev DMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DMcElhinney G
NSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2829:091:022:2284
Ryan EllisNSH3327:010:491:5067
Victor HedmanTBL2823:300:501:3241
Erik CernakTBL2322:280:592:1125
Ryan McDonaghTBL2522:200:542:1136
Mikael GranlundNSH2421:420:542:0315
Mikhail SergachevTBL2719:170:431:2724
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2019:080:572:1132
Alex KillornTBL2518:530:451:3265
Dante FabbroNSH2418:490:471:1934
Filip ForsbergNSH2218:280:501:2953
Matt DucheneNSH2018:270:552:1142
Steven StamkosTBL2018:040:542:0323
Ondrej PalatTBL1918:030:571:5231
Jan RuttaTBL2317:510:471:2722
Erik HaulaNSH2017:430:531:5612
Brayden PointTBL1917:280:552:0331
Anthony CirelliTBL2216:200:451:3656
Jarred TinordiNSH2616:120:371:1327
Colton SissonsNSH2215:500:431:2424
Barclay GoodrowTBL2015:390:471:1324
Blake ColemanTBL2115:360:451:1024
Nick CousinsNSH1715:120:541:3413
Tyler JohnsonTBL2114:370:421:2744
Yanni GourdeTBL1614:200:541:3622
Eeli TolvanenNSH1913:280:431:1951
Matt BenningNSH2313:090:341:1403
Calle JarnkrokNSH2012:380:381:1931
Mark BorowieckiNSH1911:470:371:0703
Mathieu JosephTBL129:520:491:1030
Patrick MaroonTBL149:520:421:1720
Yakov TreninNSH119:440:531:3602
Luke SchennTBL169:390:361:2703
Mathieu OlivierNSH128:580:451:4302
Alexander VolkovTBL118:580:491:0920
Michael McCarronNSH118:440:481:0202