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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 9, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 2, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 81% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Copp–EhlersWheeler–Stastny–VesalainenConnor–Appleton–DuboisLewis–Perreault–LowryLewis–Connor–DuboisPerreault–Lowry–AppletonWheeler–Stastny–LowryBeaulieu–MorrisseyForbort–PionkDeMelo–StanleyDeMelo–Morrissey
Gaudreau–Monahan–Bennett6:440.16–0.071:130.00–0.051:400.00–0.031:400.13–0.000:490.00–0.009:480.26–0.113:440.13–0.05
Lindholm–Tkachuk–Dube8:110.11–0.170:370.12–0.001:170.00–0.000:590.00–0.003:150.12–0.138:130.22–0.040:300.00–0.00
Lucic–Backlund–Mangiapane3:110.47–0.001:120.09–0.004:510.36–0.081:040.09–0.002:350.23–0.003:450.09–0.032:550.03–0.050:580.00–0.00
Froese–Nordstrom–Leivo0:420.00–0.001:050.00–0.003:130.10–0.010:330.00–0.021:430.07–0.003:530.03–0.02
Tanev–Hanifin6:040.29–0.112:480.14–0.004:400.05–0.080:470.02–0.001:110.00–0.004:110.10–0.106:250.23–0.043:300.03–0.051:170.00–0.02
Giordano–Andersson5:070.12–0.072:520.21–0.002:130.32–0.031:260.00–0.030:590.10–0.000:380.00–0.020:540.00–0.005:230.29–0.068:120.27–0.080:560.00–0.02
Nesterov–Välimäki1:470.11–0.084:380.02–0.071:280.00–0.013:330.10–0.011:020.09–0.000:460.13–0.007:170.31–0.093:200.07–0.114:050.07–0.01
Nesterov–Hanifin0:500.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FLindholm FDube FBacklund FLucic FMangiapane FMonahan FBennett FGaudreau FNordstrom FLeivo FFroese FAndersson DGiordano DHanifin DTanev DVälimäki DNesterov DMarkstrom GCopp FEhlers FScheifele FDubois FLewis FConnor FStastny FWheeler FVesalainen FAppleton FLowry FPerreault FMorrissey DBeaulieu DPionk DForbort DDeMelo DStanley DHellebuyck G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2926:510:562:0665
Neal PionkWPG3022:430:451:2814
Nathan BeaulieuWPG2722:310:501:2755
Chris TanevCGY2721:430:482:2131
Mark ScheifeleWPG2321:090:551:4261
Derek ForbortWPG2820:260:441:2815
Elias LindholmCGY2620:190:472:1145
Mark GiordanoCGY2920:170:421:1044
Noah HanifinCGY2620:080:462:2130
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2719:270:431:3652
Matthew TkachukCGY2219:250:532:1153
Sean MonahanCGY2118:330:531:4552
Andrew CoppWPG2418:290:461:2053
Nikita NesterovCGY2118:190:521:3132
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2218:020:491:4251
Johnny GaudreauCGY1917:460:561:4551
Mikael BacklundCGY2517:170:411:5733
Kyle ConnorWPG2117:120:491:4215
Juuso VälimäkiCGY2117:090:491:3033
Blake WheelerWPG2116:330:471:4452
Dillon DubeCGY2216:320:451:1822
Paul StastnyWPG2116:270:471:4452
Sam BennettCGY2015:420:471:1952
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2315:400:411:5731
Mason AppletonWPG2215:030:411:1303
Milan LucicCGY1914:110:452:0230
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2013:100:401:1303
Dylan DeMeloWPG2113:060:371:3104
Kristian VesalainenWPG1812:310:421:0552
Adam LowryWPG1712:190:431:1002
Mathieu PerreaultWPG1411:050:481:5503
Trevor LewisWPG1510:500:431:1901
Logan StanleyWPG169:590:371:3101
Joakim NordstromCGY138:480:411:0421
Byron FroeseCGY117:320:411:0820
Josh LeivoCGY107:160:441:2120