Fri, Apr 9, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
10%
51%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.09 | 38.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:47 | 0.14 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.11 | 44.0% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.02 | 60.2% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.05 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.47 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.08 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.07 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.37 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:16 | 0.09 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:08 | 0.41 | 75.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.17 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.31 | 52.0% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 49.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.04 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.08 | 59.4% | +14.5 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.04 | 55.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.00 | 19.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:44 | 0.23 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.04 | 61.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.06 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.12 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.08 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.24 | 67.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.05 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:42 | 0.22 | 51.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.26 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.07 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.28 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.14 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.06 | 68.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.02 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 4:28 | 0.06 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.04 | −2.0 | 57:59 |