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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 9, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:12Shot by Irwin, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 2:39Goal by Dillon (Schultz, Oshie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Eakin, Irwin, Rieder, Miller, Montour · WSH Oshie, Eller, Schultz, Dillon, Vrana

  4. P1 3:09Shot by Sheary, saved by Tokarski
  5. P1 4:16Shot by Hagelin, saved by Tokarski
  6. P1 6:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek
  7. P1 7:46Shot by Rieder, saved by Vanecek
  8. P1 8:05Shot by Rieder, saved by Vanecek
  9. P1 8:31Shot by Chara, saved by Tokarski
  10. P1 8:33Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vanecek
  12. P1 9:49Shot by Orlov, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 11:39Goal by Ovechkin (Dillon, Carlson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen · WSH Ovechkin, Schultz, Dillon, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  14. P1 12:38Orlov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Bryson · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Vrana

  15. P1 15:12Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Vanecek
  16. P1 18:19Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek
  17. P1 18:26Goal by Jokiharju (Dahlin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Rieder, Jokiharju, Dahlin · WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Hathaway

  18. P1 18:45Jensen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Bryson · WSH Chara, Oshie, Eller, Jensen, Vrana

  19. P1 19:41Olofsson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · WSH Hagelin, Orlov, Dillon, Hathaway

  20. P1 19:59Shot by Sheahan, saved by Vanecek4v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:22Shot by Orlov, saved by Tokarski4v4
  24. P2 0:28Goal by Schultz (Eller)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · WSH Eller, Schultz, Orlov, Sheary

  25. P2 0:48Shot by Carlson, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 1:30Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  27. P2 1:35Shot by Backstrom, saved by Tokarski
  28. P2 3:00Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  29. P2 3:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  30. P2 4:59Shot by Schultz, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 5:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  32. P2 5:43Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek
  33. P2 6:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Tokarski
  34. P2 7:18Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vanecek
  35. P2 7:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  36. P2 8:39Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek
  37. P2 8:57Shot by Eller, saved by Tokarski
  38. P2 10:08Goal by Mittelstadt (Asplund, Ristolainen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Montour, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt · WSH Backstrom, Schultz, Jensen, Sheary, Sprong

  39. P2 12:39Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Tokarski
  40. P2 14:04Shot by Irwin, saved by Vanecek
  41. P2 15:16Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 16:19Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek
  43. P2 16:20Carlson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Sheahan, Miller, Montour, Ruotsalainen · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Orlov, Vrana

  44. P2 16:55Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek5v4
  45. P2 17:07Shot by Wilson, saved by Tokarski5v4
  46. P2 17:14Shot by Montour, saved by Vanecek5v4
  47. P2 18:38Shot by Schultz, saved by Tokarski
  48. P2 19:48Shot by Backstrom, saved by Tokarski
  49. P2 19:49Shot by Sheary, saved by Tokarski
  50. P2 19:59Shot by Sprong, saved by Tokarski
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:39Shot by Asplund, saved by Vanecek
  54. P3 2:11Shot by Sheary, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 3:45Shot by Bryson, saved by Vanecek
  56. P3 4:02Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 4:27Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  58. P3 5:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Vanecek
  59. P3 5:35Shot by Sprong, saved by Tokarski
  60. P3 6:59Shot by Orlov, saved by Tokarski
  61. P3 8:27Shot by Backstrom, saved by Tokarski
  62. P3 9:48Goal by Vrana (Schultz, Eller)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Bryson · WSH Oshie, Eller, Schultz, Dillon, Vrana

  63. P3 11:05Shot by Thompson, saved by Vanecek
  64. P3 11:11Shot by Thompson, saved by Vanecek
  65. P3 11:22Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Vanecek
  66. P3 12:42Shot by Montour, saved by Vanecek
  67. P3 13:44Shot by Hagelin, saved by Tokarski
  68. P3 14:02Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek
  69. P3 14:43Shot by Hathaway, saved by Tokarski
  70. P3 15:52Shot by Eller, saved by Tokarski
  71. P3 16:19Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek
  72. P3 17:39Shot by Orlov, saved by Tokarski
  73. P3 18:40Goal by Thompson (Ristolainen)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sheahan, Ristolainen, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  74. P3 18:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vanecek
  75. P3 19:28Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final