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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 9, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hagelin–Dowd–HathawayBackstrom–Sheary–SprongOvechkin–Kuznetsov–WilsonOshie–Eller–VranaSchultz–DillonCarlson–OrlovChara–JensenOrlov–Jensen
Skinner–Reinhart–Olofsson3:540.31–0.013:400.03–0.042:580.05–0.162:390.04–0.087:010.27–0.132:000.05–0.24
Asplund–Thompson–Mittelstadt2:300.00–0.014:570.34–0.210:430.00–0.002:270.11–0.004:010.15–0.024:360.14–0.171:130.00–0.000:480.03–0.02
Okposo–Sheahan–Ruotsalainen2:430.02–0.060:460.02–0.004:330.00–0.361:200.14–0.194:420.02–0.112:120.14–0.103:050.02–0.33
Eakin–Rieder–Reinhart1:430.00–0.011:410.00–0.01
Eakin–Rieder–Ruotsalainen0:310.07–0.000:500.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin5:480.34–0.015:010.19–0.201:260.00–0.292:390.16–0.006:280.24–0.037:230.44–0.201:520.07–0.29
Ristolainen–Bryson2:200.18–0.042:530.03–0.023:480.00–0.044:410.01–0.342:480.00–0.165:480.12–0.205:570.10–0.41
Miller–Montour3:050.02–0.032:380.16–0.023:590.07–0.155:420.02–0.021:510.13–0.012:350.12–0.080:390.03–0.02
Ristolainen–Dahlin0:450.00–0.080:460.00–0.060:550.00–0.060:450.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndReinhart FSkinner FOlofsson FOkposo FSheahan FRuotsalainen FMittelstadt FAsplund FThompson FEakin FRieder FJokiharju DDahlin DRistolainen DBryson DMiller DMontour DIrwin DTokarski GHathaway FDowd FHagelin FKuznetsov FOvechkin FWilson FVrana FEller FOshie FSprong FBackstrom FSheary FSchultz DDillon DOrlov DCarlson DJensen DChara DVanecek G
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2524:040:582:2950
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2123:421:082:2941
John CarlsonWSH2723:170:521:5919
Dmitry OrlovWSH2621:470:501:5918
Sam ReinhartBUF2620:440:481:2661
Henri JokiharjuBUF2120:050:571:4420
Justin SchultzWSH2419:450:491:2961
Brenden DillonWSH2519:440:471:2352
Jacob BrysonBUF1919:021:001:3632
Victor OlofssonBUF2518:280:441:3361
Carl HagelinWSH2318:160:482:1009
Nic DowdWSH2218:150:502:2209
Jeff SkinnerBUF2218:130:501:2660
Zdeno CharaWSH2217:500:491:2032
Casey MittelstadtBUF2117:100:492:2232
Nick JensenWSH2317:060:451:1722
Colin MillerBUF1916:500:531:3325
Tage ThompsonBUF2116:420:481:1642
Kyle OkposoBUF2216:290:451:2634
Brandon MontourBUF1916:170:511:3335
Riley SheahanBUF2215:590:441:2717
Arttu RuotsalainenBUF1915:520:501:3404
Tom WilsonWSH1915:360:491:3381
Garnet HathawayWSH2015:220:462:1006
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1915:140:481:3390
Nicklas BackstromWSH1814:160:481:1503
Alex OvechkinWSH1914:080:451:1780
Conor ShearyWSH1813:430:461:2103
Lars EllerWSH2013:030:391:0030
T.J. OshieWSH2013:020:391:1221
Rasmus AsplundBUF1712:500:451:1122
Daniel SprongWSH1512:310:501:1513
Tobias RiederBUF1512:160:491:1724
Jakub VranaWSH1611:050:421:1530
Cody EakinBUF1410:500:461:0542
Matt IrwinBUF64:280:451:0120