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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Montréal Canadiens 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Price
  3. P1 4:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Price
  4. P1 4:46Shot by Dermott, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:56Shot by Dermott, saved by Price
  6. P1 7:23Shot by Muzzin, saved by Price
  7. P1 9:03Shot by Drouin, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 9:17Shot by Holl, saved by Price
  9. P1 9:45Shot by Romanov, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 10:02Shot by Boyd, saved by Price
  11. P1 11:34Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 11:41Shot by Petry, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 11:56Shot by Tatar, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:13Shot by Edmundson, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:23Shot by Hyman, saved by Price
  16. P1 13:43Shot by Holl, saved by Price
  17. P1 13:54Shot by Spezza, saved by Price
  18. P1 14:14Bogosian: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Petry, Tatar, Edmundson, Armia, Kotkaniemi · TOR Bogosian, Hyman, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev

  19. P1 14:43Shot by Armia, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 15:34Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen5v4
  21. P1 15:52Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen5v4
  22. P1 16:28Shot by Evans, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 18:35Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Price
  24. P1 18:44Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Price
  25. P1 18:55Shot by Engvall, saved by Price5v6
  26. P1 19:04Mete: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Drouin, Mete, Suzuki, Romanov · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev

  27. P1 19:45Chiarot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Weber, Chiarot, Lehkonen, Evans · TOR Thornton, Boyd, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  28. P1 0:00Period end3v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:03Goal by Matthews (Marner, Rielly)3v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Edmundson, Danault · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  31. P2 1:20Goal by Boyd (Thornton, Matthews)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Petry, Armia, Evans, Romanov · TOR Thornton, Brodie, Boyd, Marner, Matthews

  32. P2 2:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Price
  33. P2 3:24Goal by Kotkaniemi (Tatar, Edmundson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Petry, Tatar, Edmundson, Armia, Kotkaniemi · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Boyd, Rielly, Vesey

  34. P2 3:34Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 3:45Shot by Vesey, saved by Price
  36. P2 3:57Goal by Byron, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Byron, Lehkonen, Evans, Mete, Romanov · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, Vesey

  37. P2 4:29Shot by Danault, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 5:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Price
  39. P2 7:31Goal by Marner (Matthews, Bogosian)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Byron, Chiarot, Gallagher, Evans · TOR Bogosian, Boyd, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  40. P2 9:32Shot by Armia, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 10:36Shot by Gallagher, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 11:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Price
  43. P2 11:56Shot by Toffoli, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 12:13Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 12:54Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 13:59Shot by Evans, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 14:24Mete: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Drouin, Mete, Suzuki, Romanov · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, Mikheyev

  48. P2 15:05Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Chiarot, Danault, Lehkonen · TOR Thornton, Boyd, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  49. P2 15:27Shot by Armia, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 15:40Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 16:14Shot by Suzuki, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 16:52Shot by Suzuki, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 18:46Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 19:55Shot by Gallagher, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Price
  58. P3 3:08Shot by Thornton, saved by Price
  59. P3 3:27Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 5:37Shot by Petry, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 5:55Shot by Chiarot, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 8:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:59Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 13:36Goal by Kerfoot (Spezza, Tavares)+2 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Petry, Edmundson, Anderson, Drouin, Suzuki · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot

  65. P3 15:32Shot by Engvall, saved by Price
  66. P3 16:05Anderson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Drouin, Mete, Suzuki, Romanov · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, Mikheyev

  67. P3 16:05Muzzin: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Drouin, Mete, Suzuki, Romanov · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, Mikheyev

  68. P3 16:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Price4v4
  69. P3 18:34Goal by Toffoli (Romanov, Gallagher)0 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Toffoli, Gallagher, Danault, Mete, Romanov · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, Vesey

  70. P3 18:59Shot by Weber, saved by Andersen6v5
  71. P3 19:42Toffoli: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Weber, Petry, Toffoli, Anderson, Suzuki, Kotkaniemi · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  72. P3 19:58Shot by Engvall, saved by Price4v5
  73. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  74. P3 0:00Final