Sat, Feb 20, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
30%
9%
10%
52%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.01 | 48.8% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.06 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.15 | 49.9% | +58.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 20:21 | 0.77 | 51.7% | +73.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.03 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.10 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.01 | 56.9% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.03 | 37.4% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.29 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.01 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.04 | 34.2% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.15 | 43.3% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.51 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.34 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.32 | 29.4% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.02 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.03 | 38.5% | +2.4 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.25 | −0.7 | 59:42 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 23:54 | 0.08 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.12 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.05 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.01 | 74.7% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.24 | 78.1% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.14 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.19 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.03 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.03 | 33.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.06 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.12 | 62.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:37 | 0.43 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.12 | 63.0% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.20 | 61.4% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.15 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.07 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.24 | 62.3% | +15.2 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.35 | −2.6 | 59:03 |