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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 3, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Edmonton Oilers 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Bear, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 0:35Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:09Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:42Shot by Thornton, saved by Smith
  8. P1 5:00Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:10Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Smith
  10. P1 5:46Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 6:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Smith
  12. P1 6:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  13. P1 7:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Smith
  14. P1 9:03Goal by Vesey (Boyd, Spezza)+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ennis, Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, Jones · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, Vesey

  15. P1 10:53Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 14:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  17. P1 15:54Shot by Engvall, saved by Smith
  18. P1 16:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  19. P1 16:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  20. P1 18:11Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:58Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 1:39Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 2:57Goal by Vesey (Spezza, Boyd)+16 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Turris, Nurse, Bear, Nygard, Haas · TOR Spezza, Bogosian, Holl, Boyd, Vesey

  26. P2 4:38Neal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Neal, Russell, Barrie, McDavid, Puljujarvi · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall

  27. P2 4:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith4v5
  28. P2 4:44Goal by Tavares (Thornton, Marner)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Archibald, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear · TOR Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  29. P2 5:50Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 7:01Shot by Hyman, saved by Smith
  31. P2 7:02Goal by Mikheyev (Hyman, Engvall)+4 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, Mikheyev

  32. P2 10:35Bear: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto · TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  33. P2 10:51Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen4v5
  34. P2 11:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith4v5
  35. P2 11:37Shot by Brodie, saved by Smith4v5
  36. P2 12:41Shot by Russell, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 13:10Shot by Engvall, saved by Smith
  38. P2 13:45Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 13:46Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Draisaitl, Russell)+3 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, Yamamoto · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  40. P2 15:23Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 16:08Shot by Muzzin, saved by Smith
  42. P2 17:00Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 17:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith
  44. P2 18:22Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Rielly)+2 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ennis, Barrie, Archibald, McDavid, Jones · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander

  45. P2 19:43Nygard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Turris, Larsson, Khaira, Nurse, Nygard · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  46. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Smith4v5
  49. P3 1:21Shot by Muzzin, saved by Smith4v5
  50. P3 1:28Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen4v5
  51. P3 3:31Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 4:29Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 5:20Shot by Hyman, saved by Smith
  54. P3 5:24Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, Jones, Yamamoto · TOR Bogosian, Hyman, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev

  55. P3 5:32Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen4v5
  56. P3 6:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Smith4v5
  57. P3 6:15Shot by Marner, saved by Smith4v5
  58. P3 6:44Shot by Spezza, saved by Smith4v5
  59. P3 7:00Shot by Brodie, saved by Smith4v5
  60. P3 7:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Smith4v5
  61. P3 7:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Smith
  62. P3 7:46Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 8:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 10:22Nugent-Hopkins: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto · TOR Bogosian, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  65. P3 10:33Goal by Hyman (Spezza, Brodie)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, Nurse · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Hyman, Vesey, Nylander

  66. P3 11:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 15:41Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 19:00Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 19:51Shot by Spezza, saved by Smith
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final